OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

D’oh!

Posted by ipso facto @ 10:09 on February 5, 2020  

Did China’s Tencent Accidentally Leak The True Terrifying Coronavirus Statistics

But the biggest hit to the narrative and China’s officially reported epidemic numbers came overnight, when a slip up in China’s TenCent may have revealed the true extent of the coronavirus epidemic on the mainland. And it is nothing short than terrifying.

As the Taiwan Times reports in a report first spotted by user @TheHKGroup, over the weekend, Tencent “seems to have inadvertently released what is potentially the actual number of infections and deaths, which were astronomically higher than official figures”, and were far closer to the catastrophic epidemic projections made by Jonathan Read.

According to the report, late on Saturday evening, Tencent, on its webpage titled “Epidemic Situation Tracker”, showed confirmed cases of novel coronavirus (2019nCoV) in China as standing at 154,023, 10 times the official figure at the time. It listed the number of suspected cases as 79,808, four times the official figure.

And while the number of cured cases was only 269, well below the official number that day of 300, most ominously, the death toll listed was 24,589, vastly higher than the 300 officially listed that day.

https://www.zerohedge.com/health/did-chinas-tencent-accidentally-leak-true-terrifying-coronavirus-statistics

FYI–Happy days are here again!!

Posted by Richard640 @ 9:58 on February 5, 2020  

 

 

Global Dow up an astonishing 71 pts.–[+2.27%]

Posted by Richard640 @ 9:57 on February 5, 2020  

ORIGINAL CHORUS:

Hail! Hail! the gang’s all here,

What the deuce do we care,

What the deuce do we care,

Hail! Hail! we’re full of cheer,

What the deuce do we care Bill!

 

 

marketwatch.com/investing/index/gdow

Global Dow Realtime USD

OPEN
LAST UPDATED: FEB 5, 2020 AT 9:44 A.M. EST

3,234.96

+71.27=+2.27%

TSLA down about a hundy

Posted by Buygold @ 9:34 on February 5, 2020  

Marking a top?

What about a top for the SM??

edit: maybe not, only down around $50 now…

but but isn’t Idlib in Syria?

Posted by ipso facto @ 9:24 on February 5, 2020  

Turkey’s Erdogan demands Syrian forces in Idlib withdraw

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-syria-security-turkey/turkeys-erdogan-demands-syrian-forces-in-idlib-withdraw-idUSKBN1ZZ14L

Cock-a-doodle-Dooooooo-!! ADP report==a blockbuster. [so wither poor ole gold?]

Posted by Richard640 @ 8:30 on February 5, 2020  

Private payrolls soar in January, the best monthly gain in nearly 5 years

PUBLISHED WED, FEB 5 20208:15 AM ESTUPDATED MOMENTS AGO
KEY POINTS
  • Private payrolls rose by 291,000 in January, the best month since May 2015, according to ADP and Moody’s Analytics.
  • The report was nearly twice the expected gains.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/05/adp-moodys-private-payrolls-january-2019.html…

Hecla Reports Record Silver, Lead and Zinc Reserves

Posted by ipso facto @ 8:29 on February 5, 2020  

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hecla-reports-record-silver-lead-113000726.html

Guess who’s puking Tesla stock this morning?

Posted by Maddog @ 8:27 on February 5, 2020  

Millennials who have been day-trading the stock to pay for student loans…

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tsla-enters-correction-tumbles-12-highs-after-china-gigafactory-shutdown

Oh Dear such solid foundations !!!!!!

KEVIN MUIR OF THE MACRO TOURIST EXPLAINS TESLA

Posted by Richard640 @ 8:20 on February 5, 2020  

Before I tell you my theory, let me dispel the most common one.  Many people are claiming this is the biggest short squeeze in history.  Although short interest was at one point extremely high for this stock, over the past year, it has steadily declined.

You might run across all sorts of scary charts highlighting a massively growing notional amount of Tesla shares sold short.  Ignore that.  It means little with the stock exploding in value.  What matters is shares sold short.  And that number has been steadily declining.  When you combine the fact that there are a few convertible bond issues that are now deeply in the money (and therefore likely have fully hedged short positions against them), the amount of short sellers betting on this company falling has been dramatically decreasing.  No doubt there are still some left.  But they are not driving the run higher.  If they were, the borrow rates would be increasing, and instead they are falling.  Nope, the shorts are not the culprit.

Next most cited reason for the rise in Tesla’s stock price is short gamma from the market makers.  Now I buy this theory – to some extent.  Tesla has definitely become a retail (and institutional) trading darling.  On the whole, clients are buying options from market makers, creating a negative feedback loop both ways.  As the stock rises, the market makers find themselves short more stock, so they need to buy more.  As it falls, they need to short it again.  The massive negative gamma dealer position is definitely exacerbating stock price movement (and it will happen both ways – make no mistake about it).

The most hilarious part of this phenomenon?  As my pal, Bloomberg reporter Luke Kawa recently noted, in the reddit forums investors have clued into this reality and are trying to orchestrate bull raids on other stocks (which is highly illegal, but then again the SEC didn’t seem to shut down Elon for all his infractions, so I guess manipulation on the upside isn’t manipulation but instead just good trading).

GLOOM=you’ve got the ingredients for an incipient global economic calamity.

Posted by Richard640 @ 8:13 on February 5, 2020  
Do Davos Billionaires And Bankers Really Believe That There Won’t Be Any More Booms And Busts?
Therefore, we cannot attribute this surprising softening to a “murderous Fed” (to paraphrase Dornbusch) or its cohorts in the global central banking fraternity. It is, however, possible to posit that we may be seeing a cresting of excessive global fixed investment, which eventually could cause a global recession. There is no question that our central banks and governments will try to do “whatever it takes” to postpone such a decline.
The point is that, relative to the post-war business cycle patterns in most people’s minds, the end of this global expansion does not need a “murderous Fed.” Excessive risk asset valuations and high indebtedness, even in a world of low prevailing interest rates and unprecedented central bank intervention, can nonetheless lead to negative financial and economic dynamics.And given excessive global capital spending in a world where the warranted rate of growth has now downshifted, an autonomous decline in excessive investment can do the same. Add to this the increasing risks brought about by the spread of the coronavirus, and you’ve got the ingredients for an incipient global economic calamity.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/do-davos-billionaires-and-bankers-really-believe-there-wont-be-any-more-booms-and

After a two day drubbing in pm’s

Posted by Buygold @ 8:04 on February 5, 2020  

and what looks like a third day massacre of shorts in the SM

Do pm’s have a chance to at least stabilize today?

Enquiring minds want to know.

Max Gloom=If you think that things are bad so far, just wait until you see what is coming over the course of the rest of the year.

Posted by Richard640 @ 7:52 on February 5, 2020  

360 Billion & Growing: Locust Plague Of “Biblical Proportions” Destroys Crops Across Middle East, Africa

We have never seen anything like this before, and this is yet another “unprecedented crisis” that we can add to all the others that we are currently facing.
Our planet is changing, global weather patterns are going absolutely nuts, and worldwide events are really starting to spiral out of control.
And at this point we are just a little over one month into 2020.  If you think that things are bad so far, just wait until you see what is coming over the course of the rest of the year.
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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.