Posted by ferrett
@ 17:14 on October 3, 2026
The US is now off-shoring ownership of domestic production.
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/where-onshoring-ubs-questions-white-house-investment-boom-foreign-money-flows-takeovers
This would explain some of the USD strength, $20tn flowing into the country in the last 21 months. Who has been selling to the foreigners, and where have they been putting the $20tn they have received? Is this why the SM is showing so much resilience in the face of so many strong headwinds?
And what happens after say, just hypothetically, an Indian company buys an American producer. Could that brand value and technology end up being used to produce stuff in India, or other even lower cost countries, that otherwise could have been produced in the US of A and exported?
https://www.drive.com.au/news/range-rover-and-sport-to-be-built-outside-uk/ (since 2011)
Posted by eeos
@ 10:33 on October 3, 2026
come to papa! soee’s charts

watch it



Posted by deer79
@ 8:36 on October 3, 2026
A piece from KWN ( a bit sensationalistic at times), but does bring up potential scenarios:
Here is the real pressure point: Japan is one of the largest foreign holders of Treasuries. If Tokyo ever starts selling in size, yields spike, liquidity tightens, and the shock hits banks, pensions, and risk assets worldwide. That is why Washington is leaning on the Bank of Japan to stay put.
Meanwhile, China is hedging.
Beijing has been stacking gold for years. The yuan has been firmer against the dollar at times. Hong Kong and Shanghai have built gold-settlement plumbing that can clear without going through the dollar.
Yuan-denominated gold trading infrastructure is live. That is a parallel system, not a replacement for the dollar.
The CCP can never replace the dollar, but they’re taking advantage of the situation in real time.
Why it matters: If confidence in Treasuries cracks, paper assets do not drift lower politely. Gold can reprice violently. China wants an escape hatch if that day comes.
Posted by eeos
@ 22:18 on October 2, 2026
It’s going to be steep and deep. I don’t need the exact bottom. Scaling my way in
Posted by goldielocks
@ 22:01 on October 2, 2026
That’s what happens when you live in a blue state. They sack the city
Posted by goldielocks
@ 21:58 on October 2, 2026
I see it dropped below 60 around noon today. Although it recovered a bit that’s still not good.
Posted by eeos
@ 21:34 on October 2, 2026
Denver Water jacked my water up 26%. Look at stamps too. I love sticking it them





Posted by ipso facto
@ 18:45 on October 2, 2026
theleahfiles
@leahfiles
Inflation numbers came out today, and the official story is that inflation went down. What the headline number doesn’t tell you is that the government changed how inflation is calculated in the same release. A month ago, they said July inflation was 3.7%. Today, they recalculated July with the new formula and it dropped to 3.36%. If you measure August the same way as the months before it, inflation comes out around 3.8%, which means it went up. They didn’t bring inflation down, they just changed how they calculate it.
Bessent did something similar with CPI last month. You only modify the way you calculate if they numbers are that bad. They genuinely thought we wouldn’t notice…
https://x.com/leahfiles/status/2105491272018366722
Posted by overton
@ 18:30 on October 2, 2026
Posted by ipso facto
@ 18:29 on October 2, 2026
“This was a rough week for us.”
You got that right Bro, but the turn is nigh! If not … then back to the drawing board.
Posted by Buygold
@ 17:42 on October 2, 2026
Ipso – a little short covering or maybe buying into the close. Hopefully a sign of better things ahead. This was a rough week for us.
Rates really turned today, they were down big after the jobs report but ended over 4 bips higher – a 10 point turnaround.
maddog – pretty big reversal for oil too. Rates and oil sort of explain the action in the metals, Funny how the SM just sails along no matter what happens.
Posted by ipso facto
@ 16:01 on October 2, 2026
Posted by treefrog
@ 15:21 on October 2, 2026
Posted by Maddog
@ 14:51 on October 2, 2026
Here we can see the Hit on Gold and ram in Oil…..both 15 minute charts Note the way Oil broke down then was immediately rammed higher, not once but twice…no was was Oil going to be allowed to break……hopefully Bessant will onto this.


Posted by Maddog
@ 14:13 on October 2, 2026
Gold rallies $ 40 bucks then drop $ 100 all in 4 hrs ..then goes to sleep at the lows…..no normal mkt does that .
Posted by ipso facto
@ 13:02 on October 2, 2026
Posted by ipso facto
@ 13:00 on October 2, 2026
I agree. It certainly strengthens the dollar, the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry basket! The moneyed class is packing their bags.
Cheers
Posted by goldielocks
@ 12:36 on October 2, 2026
Voila
Gold ticked higher yesterday (Thursday, October 1, 2026) as US Treasury yields softened across the curve and concerns over France’s fiscal outlook increased demand for safe-haven assets. [
1]
Key factors driving the move:
- Falling Bond Yields: US Treasury yields eased (with the 10-year Treasury yield retreating from a 24-year high). Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. [1]
- Safe-Haven Demand: New fiscal and political anxieties surrounding France sparked a shift toward safe-haven assets. [1]
- Fed Rate-Hike Bets Pushed Back: Investors pared back expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes following softer economic data, giving a short-term boost to precious metals. [1]
Posted by deer79
@ 12:35 on October 2, 2026
……and this also rationalizes the argument as to why the US $ is so strong ( even in the face of a weaker jobs market in the US). French/Euro money looking to leave European markets and will be parked elsewhere ( US). Coupled with the Russia/Euro war drums beating louder and louder; also strengthens out flow of money from Euroland…..
Posted by ipso facto
@ 12:23 on October 2, 2026
Michael A. Arouet
@MichaelAArouet
Most people don’t yet grasp what is happening in France. Markets are pricing French sovereign debt as junk, rating agencies will eventually have to follow. This will have two major impacts:
1. Most French banks are already rated at or just below the sovereign, so a move toward junk would likely drag domestically focused lenders with it. Credit to households and firms would slow sharply, hurting the economy and widening the fiscal deficit even further, a vicious cycle.
2. For the ECB, the constraint is legal as well as financial. A fall below investment grade would force sales by ratings-bound investors while making any backstop harder to justify under current rules.
The next euro crisis will begin in France. The first, which began in Greece, will feel like a walk in the park compared with what comes next.

Posted by Buygold
@ 12:19 on October 2, 2026
Looks like they had $60 silver planned for the weekly close all week. This is just brute force paper selling that started at the open.
No idea why the metals were up yesterday. They must’ve needed some players to puke.🤮
Posted by ipso facto
@ 12:15 on October 2, 2026
The Hormuz Letter
@HormuzLetter
BREAKING: Iran has just struck an oil tanker conducting an outbound transit of the Strait of Hormuz under US escort in the US-backed southern Omani corridor, with a fire and a blackout on board, per UKMTO.
It is the 6th vessel Iran has struck in the Strait this week.
Posted by goldielocks
@ 11:47 on October 2, 2026
One thing that seems interesting to me it seems practically every year at end of the year when they decide the COLA cost of living data they determine the percent of SS increase the inflation rate is always manipulated down.
Posted by goldielocks
@ 10:29 on October 2, 2026
Your right about that but if they weren’t so eager to jump in so fast although testing the water they wouldn’t be all over the place.
This is the answer I got. Had to change my question from why is it going down cuz it said it’s going up to why it is going down after rising in so many words.
Gold and silver initially rallied after a soft jobs report because weaker employment data initially led traders to price in lower interest rates and weaker real yields, before reversing sharply lower as the market pivoted toward fears of persistent inflation, a surging U.S. dollar, and rising Treasury yields
Posted by Buygold
@ 10:22 on October 2, 2026
I suspect it’s a case of burnt fingers and lack of interest. If the SM weren’t higher, these shares would be crushed.