Loading ...$33.33
A very good number.
Ferrett
Scott Adams did say the smart ones, the happy ones are the unvaxed who got natural immunity and don’t have to worry about the unknown effects from the jab. Not that other things can’t come along as there’s other cancer causing and health related toxins in every aspect of our environment or jobs, just one less thing.
He also noted as far as prostate cancer that he tried Ivermectin and Fenbendazole although I think it’s supposed to be in addition to other forms of chemotherapy with his doctors blessing but it did not work. Yet they discourage prostate checks despite markers being late to show up. By a certain age to have a better chance of catching it early they should be checked every 6 months.
Many early warning signs of noticeable symptoms are caught by the person not during routine checkups.
Here’s a map
Pairing stagflation with the current dollar and rates. This is without war, tarriffs, or policy’s to curb it or make it worse.
The scenario you described—a declining dollar paired with rising Treasury yields—does raise concerns about potential stagflation, a challenging economic condition characterized by slow economic growth, high unemployment, and high inflation.
Here’s a breakdown of why this combination is worrisome:
1. The Weakening Dollar:
- Typically, rising Treasury yields attract foreign investment, boosting demand for the dollar and strengthening its value. This is because higher yields make US assets more attractive to global investors.
- However, a declining dollar despite rising yields suggests a loss of confidence in the US economy or assets. This can be triggered by factors like concerns about government debt, rising inflation, or geopolitical instability.
2. Rising Treasury Yields:
- Rising Treasury yields reflect increased borrowing costs for the government and the broader economy. This can happen due to various factors, including higher inflation expectations, increased government borrowing, and a shift in monetary policy.
- Higher yields, while potentially attracting investors, can also stifle economic growth by making borrowing more expensive for businesses and consumers. This can lead to reduced investment, slower economic activity, and potentially higher unemployment.
3. Connection to Stagflation:
- The combination of a weakening dollar and rising yields can create a vicious cycle. A weaker dollar can exacerbate inflation by making imports more expensive, while higher yields can dampen economic growth, according to Fidelity Investments.
- This scenario aligns with the characteristics of stagflation, where you have both high inflation and slow or stagnant economic growth. The potential consequences include reduced purchasing power for consumers, job losses, and a challenging environment for policymakers.
In conclusion:
While a declining dollar and rising Treasury yields don’t automatically guarantee stagflation, they do raise red flags and indicate potential economic vulnerabilities. If these trends persist, they could create a difficult economic environment characterized by high inflation, slow growth, and potentially higher unemployment, notes Fidelity Investments.
Martin Armstrong
Natos a retirement home for neocons. He stays on track this time.
Long one, Europe has interest in this one with people asking if they should leave. Not just taxes, confiscating private assets, but the draft. NATO are also a catalyst for buying gold.
It’d be great if Silver took a run tonight
looks spicey
This might be the first day
where everything in the markets look wrong. Everything is down except rates. Bitcoin reversed lower with tech.
Right now, you’re in pm’s and believe it or not pm shares, or you’re losing money.
It will not end well if this continues.
Buygold Maddog Ferrett
With increases in borrowing cost I’m not sure if the recession is over and blue skys or it’s going to move to stagflation.
The rates up dollar down sign of upcoming stagflation. That’s not even a know for sure depending on how they react to it. So far per Maddogs find we see how the Fed is reacting.
Captain Hook
That video is hilarious. They summed it up in the beginning. Net zero, zero electricity, zero food, zero everything lol
Good listen about the real condition our condition is in …
… regarding hydrocarbons … and it’s not good.
Ignore at your own peril.
Have a nice day
Mr Copper
We have too many people that if you were at a store and you bill was 10.60 and you needed a couple of quarters so you gave dollars and dime they wouldn’t get it. But they would cut your slice of the pie half of what they sliced for themselves and hope you wouldn’t notice and they’re running countries.
The Program is Evident
WOAH 🚨 Report shows that $70 million in US taxpayer money was given to the California NGO’s that are going after and shutting down family farms
Our tax dollars are being laundered to NGO’s and used to shut down our food system
“Congress is investigating the NGOs that shut down the 12 family farms — They also verified by the committee that they did not respond when they said, hey, why’d you do this? — And now they’re talking about that they might have to subpoena them because they’re not answering their questions.”
FWIW
I’m looking to see if Silver can make a new 6 week closing high (surpassing highs made on April 23 and April 25) of $33.65…….
Re Unaffordable Housing?
We can thank all the imported crap that started flooding the USA after 1970. Before 1970 there was a labor shortage because we made everything here, and wages outpaced inflation. By miles. You could quit your factory job and get a better one in a half hour. Also 10% down for a new American car loan and three years to pay it off. High school kids were buying new cars. The under 25 group were the biggest buyers.
Dissension at AG
@Mark_IKN
·
12h
Check out First Majestic’s $AG $FR.to AGM vote results👇👇, the activist rebellion that started in 2024 got stronger
• Say on pay voted down (yok yok), 58.99% against
• Chair survived by skin of teeth, 50.44% (that wudda bin funny)
• One other director also targeted, 54.82%
Shouldn’t be recommended for anyone!
🚨 #BREAKING: The Trump administration is NO LONGER recommending annual COVID vaccines for healthy & young people, per AP
FINALLY!
The whole world is dollar bearish…..
hence the selling at every chance…..whether they are right is another story…..if they are wrong it will be a fast run back , as most are already short.
ferrett @ 21:12
I sure hope this new Super Funds tax doesn’t come to fruition. They are going to destroy the capital markets there. It’s a shame that Australia is going down this socialist road. At the end of this road is the impoverishment of the country.
The tax man is voracious!
Cheers
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“I’m not used to seeing the dollar fall when rates rise.”
Good point. Usually higher rates make for a better return on the dollar.
We all know the relationship between bond prices and yields. Yield up, Treasury price down, and usually dollar up. If the dollar is down too, it means people don’t want dollars or USTs. So, they are selling Treasuries and then converting the USD into something else? Yen, Euro and AUD by the looks of it. Maybe gold, but not obvious tonight.
Has the selling of America begun? Are outsiders seeing the ugly part of the BBB?
Morning maddog
Is the Fed the buyer in there trying to defend the 4.5% level? Never really considered this but I wonder how much the Fed actually holds in UST’s? We talk about other countries, but I would imagine the Fed’s holdings dwarf those of China and Japan. Seems if they wanted to take our bond market down, they could do it pretty easily.
I’m not used to seeing the dollar fall when rates rise. That’s something we haven’t seen here in the US, I’d guess since maybe the late 70’s, early 80’s. I’m not sure. The point being that the dollar falling with rates rising may not be a good sign for the dollar?
Following through
Extending yesterday’s gains early on here despite the SM futures weakening, particularly in the last hour. Dollar too, as rates jumped back above 4.5% to 4.54%. Right now, we are one of the lone standouts in the market. I love it when that’s the case.
PM’s and shares are steady. GDX & GDXJ up 1% premarket and outperforming the metals. Would like to see the HUI up another 20 pts. in the next couple of days, we’ll see how that goes in a weak SM.
Silver lagging as usual and if they’re going to get us, silver will buckle first. Gold just grinds higher.
No follow thru in platinum or palladium just yet, maybe if they catch a bid silver will as well.
Not a whole lot of things that are higher this am. Oil stands out, up 1.2%. Bitcoin flat.
No eco data today. Markets are on their own.