OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

A professor has warned that the new deadly coronavirus which originated in China has the same kill rate as the Spanish flu, which claimed the lives of 20-50 million people in 1918.

Posted by Richard640 @ 23:16 on January 24, 2020  
Fears of widespread contagion are growing after hundreds of cases were confirmed and 17 people died. The virus originated in an animal market in Wuhan, China and has now spread to numerous other countries, including the United States.

Alex Jones is live on air right now breaking down Bill & Melinda Gates’ secretive connection to a Coronavirus vaccine.

The virus has a 2% death rate, compared to 0.1% for the regular flu. For every 50 people who are infected, one will statistically die.
“This [2019-nCoV’s death rate] could be 2%, similar to Spanish flu,” said Professor Neil Ferguson from Imperial College London.
“Novel viruses spread much faster because we have no immunity,” he added. 
Let’s do some math here.
In 1918, the population of the earth was just under 2 billion. Spanish flu killed around 20-50 million, around 2.5% of the population. In today’s figures with a population of 7.8 billion, a similar kill rate would take out 195 million people.
Fatalities are occurring as a result of of pneumonia and there is “no effective anti-viral,” according to Professor Peter Horby from the University of Oxford.
Hopefully now that the Chinese government has banned all travel in Wuhan and shut down the airport, the spread of the virus will be massively contained.


Gold Train

Posted by Maya @ 23:03 on January 24, 2020  


Steam into History


The Man Who Advises the New York Fed Says It and Other Central Banks Are “Fueling a Ponzi Market”

Posted by Richard640 @ 23:01 on January 24, 2020  

By Pam Martens and Russ Martens: January 22, 2020 ~

Scott Minerd

On Monday, a member of the New York Fed’s own Investor Advisory Committee on Financial Markets, Scott Minerd, published a critique which he headlined as follows: “Global Central Banks Fueling a Ponzi Market,” with this scary subhead: “Ultimately, investors will awaken to the rising tide of defaults and downgrades.”

The thrust of the article is that central banks (which include the New York Fed’s Wall Street money spigot that was launched on September 17, 2019) are creating a Ponzi scheme of liquidity that is hiding the true state of risk in both the stock and bond markets. The implication is that without the Fed’s cheap money flooding markets, interest rates on questionable debt would be much higher, thus providing a red flag for investors.

Minerd develops his thesis as follows:

“The disturbing trend is that despite the rally in risk assets in the prior year, the number of defaults rose by approximately 50 percent, according to data compiled by J.P. Morgan. Additionally, the number of distressed exchanges increased by 400 percent.

“This correlates well with our observation that the number of idiosyncratic defaults has been increasing. Ultimately, markets will need to reprice for this rising risk with increased bond spreads relative to Treasury securities. However, that day of reckoning when spreads rise is being held off by the flood of central bank liquidity and international investors fleeing negative yields overseas.

“And let’s not forget downgrade risk of BBBs: today 50 percent of the investment-grade [corporate debt] market is rated BBB, and in 2007 it was 35 percent. More specifically, about 8 percent of the investment-grade market was BBB- in 2007 and today it is 15 percent. It has more than quintupled in size outstanding, from $800 billion to $3.3 trillion. We expect 15–20 percent of BBBs to get downgraded to high yield [junk bond] in the next downgrade wave: This would equate to $500–660 billion and be the largest fallen angel volume on record—and would also swamp the high yield market.


Coronaviruses, one of a variety of viruses that cause colds, have been making people cough and sneeze seemingly forever. But occasionally, a new version infects people and causes serious illness and deaths.

Posted by Richard640 @ 22:43 on January 24, 2020  

How dangerous is a coronavirus infection?

Usually coronavirus illnesses are fairly mild, affecting just the upper airway. But the new virus, as well as both SARS and MERS, are different. 

Those three types of betacoronaviruses can latch onto proteins studding the outside of lung cells, and penetrate much deeper into the airway than cold-causing coronaviruses, says Anthony Fauci, director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases in Bethesda, M.D. The 2019 version is “a disease that causes more lung disease than sniffles,” Fauci says.

Damage to the lungs can make the viruses deadly. In 2003 and 2004, SARS killed nearly 10 percent of the 8,096 people in 29 countries who fell ill. A total of 774 people died, according to the World Health Organization. 

MERS is even more deadly, claiming about 30 percent of people it infects. Unlike SARS, outbreaks of that virus are still simmering, Fauci says. Since 2012, MERS has caused 2,494 confirmed cases in 27 countries and killed 858 people. 

MERS can spread from person to person, and some “superspreaders” have passed the virus on to many others. Most famously, 186 people contracted MERS after one businessman unwittingly brought the virus to South Korea in 2015 and spread it to others. Another superspreader who caught MERS from that man passed the virus to 82 people over just two days while being treated in a hospital emergency room (SN: 7/8/16).

Right now, 2019-nCoV appears to be less virulent, with about a 4 percent mortality rate. But that number is still a moving target as more cases are diagnosed, Fauci says. As of January 23, the new coronavirus had infected more than 581 people, with about a quarter of those becoming seriously ill, according to the WHO. By January 24, the number of reported infections had risen to at least 900.


I wonder if this virus is just another big pharma scam…it better be on the legit-!!

Posted by Richard640 @ 22:35 on January 24, 2020  
Yet even with these caveats in mind, Reed’s work suggests that a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is materially, perhaps catastrophically higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, “suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.”
Even assuming that most of Reed’s assumptions are overly harsh and pessimistic, his summary leaves little hope that the Coronavirus epidemic will be contained any time soon:
“We are still in the early days of this outbreak and there is much uncertainty in both the scale of the outbreak, as well as key epidemiological information regarding transmission. However, the rapidity of the growth of cases since the recognition of the outbreak is much greater than that observed in outbreaks of either SARS or MERS-CoV. This is consistent with our higher estimates of the reproductive number for this outbreak compared to these other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.”
Finally, while Reed makes no observations on the potential mortality associated with nCoV, one can make a broad observation: late on Friday, China’s Hubei province reported 15 additional coronavirus deaths, which added to the previously reported 26 casualties, bringing the total to 41. And with roughly 1,100 confirmed cases, this means that the mortality rate of the diseases has just jumped from roughly 2.5% to 4%. Which means that if Reed is correct, and if 250,000 people in Hubei alone will be infected by February 4, no less than 10,000 Chinese people will be dead in the next 2-3 weeks.
What happens after that – with China effectively paralyzed by fear and the economy grinding to a halt as nobody leave their home – is anyone’s guess.


Adam Schiff’s Cat

Posted by commish @ 20:06 on January 24, 2020  


I just love old Egon=pumping out end of the world scenarios for the past 10 yrs= equities are about to lose 95% of their value.

Posted by Richard640 @ 19:39 on January 24, 2020  


Egon von Greyerz – January 24, 2020

In this insightful interview, Max and Egon talk about the 2010s as a decade of fantasy and decadence.

Central bankers medicine has enabled the terminally ill patient to survive for much longer than he should have. But that sadly will soon come to an end.

Egon further warns: Stocks will be a complete carnage, particularly against real money like gold, equities are about to lose 95% of their value.

Also covered:

  • The world’s largest asset bubble ever about to implode
  • Risk for every single asset currently at a maximum
  • Printed money has resulted in fake wealth across all asset classes
  • How much longer can the world live on thin air?
  • World debt will collapse under its own sheer weight
  • Most listed companies not making profit
  • Nasdaq risk today bigger than 2000
  • Technically, markets look extremely vulnerable


Posted by Maya @ 19:20 on January 24, 2020  

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Well Armstrong’s computer was right about the panic cycle for friday

Posted by Richard640 @ 19:09 on January 24, 2020  

From a ZH reader–corona virus courtesy of Bill and Melinda and our Govvie

Posted by Richard640 @ 19:04 on January 24, 2020  
Corona virus courtesy of Bill and Melinda gates and the CIA
Designer virus patented in US, attacking their sounder of swines then attacking their people, connect the dots …….
The new fad disease called the “coronavirus” is sweeping headlines.
Funny enough, there was a patent for the coronavirus was filed in 2015 and granted in 2018.
This assignee of this patent was the government funded Pirbright Institute out of the UK.
And would you look at that, some of their major funders are the World Health Organization and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. 

Funny how the WHO recently said that vaccine hesitancy was one of the leading threats to global health in 2019.

And how much funding has the Gates Foundation given to vaccine programs throughout the years?

Was the release of this disease planned?
Is the media being used to incite fear around it?
Is the Cabal desperate for money, so they’re tapping their Big Pharma reserves?
Are there vaccines already being manufactured to “fight” this?
Coordinated all along? 
Interesting timing of when this disease is hitting the headlines.
yeah, well .. the ride was good but it’s getting a bit long in the tooth
maybe contained, maybe not
maybe 900 cases, maybe 90,000
maybe rapidly spreading, maybe rapidly killing
who wants to leave all their chips on the table?
anything is possible and people get spooked

A variant of the common cold sink stocks? Preposterous-it’s a nothing burger..they wuz a mini-vol explosion with the DOW down just 170–imagine what would happen

Posted by Richard640 @ 18:53 on January 24, 2020  

if it were down an ole 600 or 800 pts Monday…dream on, R6740–I will not be surprised to see a laconic sunday nite open…nor will I be surprised to see a massacre if Asia futures are called down hard…

Boeing rescued The Dow from its worst levels after the machines read FAA comments as extremely positive…

A big buy programs in the last hour did their best to lift stocks…

VIX touched 16.00 intraday before fading…

Volatility, as measured by the volatility index  UVXY, accelerated.   UVXY closed at 11.72, up 8.92% on the day.

Buygold @ 18:36

Posted by ipso facto @ 18:50 on January 24, 2020  

Yikes! Sure hope it doesn’t spread all over the world! Tough to stop when people are traveling by air constantly. And now they say that some people can carry it without fever as a symptom.



Posted by goldielocks @ 18:47 on January 24, 2020  

Least you don’t correct AFTER you post. Makes me want to go back to the typewriter. These keys on a phone it’s too easy for the wrong letter to pop up especially when sleep deprived. Not even gonna worry about it now.

Ipso 18:00

Posted by goldielocks @ 18:41 on January 24, 2020  

Lol Guess moral of story things could be worst.
Is it a scare tactic to push people to run for a vaccine or is it real? In the meantime be careful just in case. A person at work complaining of flu symptoms after a restaurant here too. Always something.

Well crap Ipso! I don’t want our PM’S to go up if we might all be dead! Geesh

Posted by Buygold @ 18:36 on January 24, 2020  

UK Researcher Predicts Over 250,000 Chinese Will Have Coronavirus In Ten Days

“We expect further outbreaks to occur in other Chinese cities, and that infections will continue to be exported to international destinations at an increasing rate.”

Ipso – ah, gotcha

Posted by Buygold @ 18:08 on January 24, 2020  

could seriously be a big deal.

I’m stunned how well our pm’s and shares did today. Almost looking forward to Sunday…go figure! 🙂

China Suddenly Increases Death Toll By Over 60% As Virus Jumps To Europe

Posted by ipso facto @ 18:05 on January 24, 2020  



Posted by ipso facto @ 18:00 on January 24, 2020  

I saw pictures today of bodies laying in the streets of Wuhan. Hopefully this is not a common occurrence.

Buygold @ 16:36

Posted by ipso facto @ 17:58 on January 24, 2020  

If people are staying home instead of going to work then they aren’t burning any gas to go anywhere. The work they would normally do is not being done. Less raw materials are being used and so on.

I’m not sure how many people in the affected area are actually going to work but figure it is a lot less than normal.

Have a great weekend!


Posted by goldielocks @ 17:09 on January 24, 2020  

Wanna know where to look keep a eye on those Bios and drugo manufacturers-o
You know the vaccine type too which I’m alwsys suspicious of.
News getting through that in communist China news isn’t getting through…can’t verify but they’re running out of beds and supplies.. but like I said can’t verify. Due to incubation period can’t say how many exposed there or anywhere else.


Posted by goldielocks @ 17:05 on January 24, 2020  


Afternoon Ipso

Posted by Buygold @ 16:36 on January 24, 2020  

I’m curious as to why you think the virus will have an impact on the SM? More than say the impeachment process or something else?

Not criticizing, just asking.

Listening to the house impeachment “managers” now” – a bit of a circus though depending on what side you’re on. 🙂


Posted by ipso facto @ 16:12 on January 24, 2020  

I think that Coronavirus is gonna put the cosh on the SM bigtime. Already how many people in China have been told to stay home and do nothing? 50 million? Then as time goes by …

As for us long suffering bugs

Posted by Buygold @ 16:08 on January 24, 2020  

we got the trifecta today, despite a stronger dollar.

Silver closes above $18, Gold above $1570 and HUI above 235

Should be a good Sunday night. Something seems to be spooking the SM – finally.

Would like to see a little better action in some of the small cap silvers, but it will come.

Here’s your COT’s – Pretty tame


goldielocks @ 12:22…. Dyslexia

Posted by silverngold @ 16:06 on January 24, 2020  

Thanks!! Now that we use keyboards it’s no longer a problem that I invariably switch/reverse many letters in a word and have to go back and correct them. In my past business lives we only had typewriters so thank God for all the various forms of whiteout…..and also for the secretaries who caught my errors. LOL!!!

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.