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Convinced this is History’s Greatest Bubble, I’ve been anticipating a pretty astonishing variety of “crazy.”

Posted by Richard640 @ 23:22 on July 24, 2018  
I’m fond of saying how crazy things get near the end of Bubbles. Convinced this is History’s Greatest Bubble, I’ve been anticipating a pretty astonishing variety of “crazy.” Watching this all unfold with increasing trepidation, I sense an important line has been crossed. It’s time to retire “crazy” – find a replacement that conjures up something more foreboding – more disturbing. And markets, well, they’re seemingly fine with it all; at times almost giddy. And that’s the fundamental problem: Dysfunctional markets continue to promote incredibly risky policy behavior – the polar (bear) opposite of imposing discipline.
 

The central banks’ “slippery slope” has led us to an ominous place. “Strongmen” now believe it’s within their domain to dictate the markets, interest rates and currency levels. All the while, it’s regressed into an unprecedented global Bubble replete with a Global Financial Arms Race. Markets trade as if they fully expect all governments to absolutely, at all cost, safeguard their respective financial wealth (i.e. Bubbles). Remember “the West will never allow a Russian collapse”? And “Washington will never allow a housing bust”? Global policymakers will never allow another major crisis. Well, let’s see how this game of chicken between President Trump and President/General Secretary Xi plays out.

 
U.S. Bubble Watch:

July 18 – Wall Street Journal (Nick Timiraos): “The Trump administration expects annual budget deficits to rise nearly $100 billion more than previously forecast in each of the next three years, pushing the federal deficit above $1 trillion starting next year. The revisions… reflect the cost of federal spending increases agreed to earlier this year and higher interest payments. The budget proposal released in February showed annual deficits totaling $7.1 trillion over 10 years. The latest revisions increase these cumulative deficits by $926 billion, to $8 trillion.”

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.