Are the only things I pay attention to. Trying to interpret possibly incorrect news and determining its impact is too sketchy for me.
Another thing along those lines is that price should confirm the narrative. So far the nat gas price has not confirmed the narrative of shortages. However I am following the chart carefully as I have 5 positions that hinge primarily on a winter rally in nat gas. If the chart doesn’t confirm that narrative soon, I will be forced to take either small losses or perhaps small gains.
As far as interest rates go, I have opened a position in BND, if it goes according to my chart interpretation interest rates will not rise. I realize government paper is not as low risk as it once was, so there is that.

aurum
