Loading ...Overall, the rate announcement is likely to be a non-event and investors will look to other economic data releases, the escalating trade war, and emerging markets for direction.
The US Dollar
US Dollar has weakened since the previous meeting and sentiment remains weak around the greenback, despite 10-year treasury yields hitting their highest levels since 2011. With the market already discounting a 25-basis point hike, the Dollar is only likely to strengthen if the outlook is more hawkish than expected.
There is a very small chance (2%) of a 50bps hike but considering that another hike in December is also expected by most market watchers, even this may not be enough to boost the Dollar.
The US Dollar index (below) has breached support going back to May, and it will take a very hawkish statement for it to regain this support level at 94.75. While all of this appears to point to further weakness, this too may be contained by technical levels against other major currencies.