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I could see that. What does that say about Trump’s confidence in the Globalist Fed?

Will they step up with QE if needed?

Japanese Politics ???⛩️
@Nihonpolitics
·
14h
According to Fox News, it was Japan whose sale of American bonds yesterday forced Trump’s hand to announce a 90-day suspension of tariffs (except for China).

Video

Interesting huh?

The dollar is getting crushed. Rumors abound of hedge fund and bank troubles. SM resumes it’s decline.

The scum attacks gold with wave after wave. It works with silver still, but gold looks like new highs might be on the way.

Maybe the GS ratio will go 200-1

Some pretty serious disconnect there.

Looks like the shares will be sold at the open.

but no sure enough the sellers were there…..but can they keep it down…….that is not looking so easy…..anymore.

A-Dog – the spoofing on GLD & SLV started immediately at 0800 EST. Bids/Asks are all over the map. You’re right about silver, heck gold is only what, $10 from new highs? Pretty good discrepancy between large cap shares as well, although there’s only a few of them that are where they should be.

ferret – yes. I avoided the war part. That’s the risk he’s taking with China. The rest of it, Trump holds the cards. A report came out that a senior admiral made some bad comments about Xi, so they arrested him. This officer was smart though, he compiled a list of 1800 officers who had made similar statements, so apparently the military isn’t exactly enamored with him. There are other things though, apparently the number of deaths from Covid in China was in the 100’s of millions and their population isn’t nearly what they claim, I remember they came out with their own vaccine right away, but maybe it didn’t work so well. They are susceptible in a lot of ways, militarily too. Taiwan could reach the three gorges dam with ballistic missiles, if that were taken out, it would destroy a lot of their manufacturing capabilities.

Still, the last thing we want is to be fighting a war with them over Taiwan. We just need to tame them financially.

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GoGold Reports Q2 Production at Parral to 555,479 Silver Equivalent Ounces

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Silver X Announces Filing of NI 43-101 Technical Report for Previously Announced Mineral Resource Estimate for the Nueva Recuperada Project, Including Plata Mining Unit

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At 3120 gold silver would be pressing 35 with the 90 to one ratio not a couple of weeks ago. Looks like the algos have attached it to the SM.

Dog

If Xi is weaker then, as is always the case with dictators, there will be people watching to make a move on him, justifying it in this case by blaming the trade war on him (only internally, of course). The danger is that he will do something dramatic to direct attention away from a potential coup – Taiwan is the obvious choice. Wrt trade, America will be hurting in some areas where they aren’t getting the goods. Maybe Xi thinks he can stare down Trump to a certain extent? Immovable object, irresistible force. I see that Europe is already closely monitoring imports to make sure China isn’t dumping excess capacity on them. I wonder how ready America is to defend Taiwan, after all its arms and ammo gifts to Ukraine and the Houthis (unwanted gifts in their case!)?

Interesting comments on Schiff. But if Trump has shafted Soros on a Big Short – I will be grinning for weeks!

A lot we don’t know, certainly. There is also stuff they don’t know too, in terms of each others reactions to the threats, what they can, and will do, in other words psychological unknowns, and then the unintended consequences. Like bond prices …. strikes me that gold actually knows a lot of this stuff which is why it’s so strong.

that it’s not the middle of the night.

SM futures back in sell mode, with the DOW down 1.35% and Nasdaq down 2%. Oil down 2.5%. The dollar is getting rocked for 1%. Rates flat but looking to head higher maybe.

Gold still up $41, but silver has backed off and down $.02

PM shares are flat to down slightly. They look like they want to go with the SM.

Euro and UK markets up near 5%. Japan and Taiwan both screaming higher overnight by 9%

Love the way gold looks, but we’ve got to get thru the Crimex and then the CPI report.

I wish I knew the answers to some of those questions. It sounds to me like the 10% tariff hikes across the board are locked in. Now that 75 countries (so they say) have decided to come to the table, they will negotiate tariffs with them on an individual basis.

I think the idea was to isolate China and get them to come to the table. Which they have to do. They depend on exports, without them, they’re in deep economic trouble, the bulk of those exports come to us. I have no idea what happens if they dig in, but they are in a serious deflation right now, and XI is not as strong as he was even a few years ago. Divide and conquer?

Here’s what I found interesting. Adam Schiff, the Senator from CA. immediately came out after the SM rally today and demanded an investigation into the White House having leaked the 90 day pause to market participants, causing such a monster rally. I believe Schiff is from the Schiff banking family of old. Being part of the Globalist banking cabal, I believe he and his cronies have been responsible for trying to take markets down. It was a given the Globalists would do this to Trump. I’m wondering if Schiff, Soros, & Co. got caught tits short and took a monster beating today. Something they are not used to doing. Schiff, like all Democrats are famous for accusing others of what they themselves are doing.

They may have been lured into a bear trap.

This is a war that’s being fought on many different fronts. Markets are surely part of the game. Bessent is an old Soros hedge fund guy. Luttnick was CEO of Cantor-Fitzgerald, whose company just happened to lose the bulk of his people on 9/11. Apparently, Cantor employees weren’t given the memo like some others were about the timing of 9/11.

There’s a lot we don’t know.

At least morning on my side of the country now. Still pretty early. 🙂

We get a lot of good stuff here. A lot of speculation, and everyone here is a diehard, so they participate in trying to read the tea leaves. It’s great, especially after all these years.

Looks like gold is carrying the day at this early moment, up another $40, silver up $.22, but always get the feeling silver is looking over its shoulder for the next takedown.

Dollar down, oil flat, SM futures down some. Bitcoin down 1/2%. Rates flat.

We got the CPI report this am, and it looks like they raised the bar and are expecting lower numbers. Probably going to see some shifting around in the next 6 hours. Hopefully the numbers do come in lower.

You make a good point on rare earths.

The metals. A woman took out 500 they asked her why she wanted it. 500 wow

A man maybe from England said a guy went to pull out 2 K for a bike. They asked him to get a letter from the guy selling the bike first. Need to stack more cash as well.

https://youtu.be/dRzgb8YAUtY?si=HQkJ9helfGk4eqgy

Treasuries selling to raise cash, interests could rise, not just banks but the SM.

Banks are having to buy bonds. Fed bailing out a hedge fund but won’t say which one.  Risk of bail-ins, can balances be frozen.

They sell gold but make a good argument.

That’s not my line of work but some flood zones for that have underground drains. At least evacuation routes with some plans where they can go. But again not nearly an expert but someone should be.

I did an MBO for a firm making capacitors in north Wales in 1985. I sort of felt a bit betrayed when they offshored to China a couple of years later. All those jobs gone. But, they were just ahead of the game. They even make Corona beer in China for the Aussie market now.

That’s the main issue, not tariffs. Labour costs. If both sides levelled the playing field with no tariffs, no artificial barriers to entry, no customs shenanigans, China would still win hands down because of wages. Trump would have to insist that all people manufacturing stuff exported to America were paid US wage rates. China would just tell Trump to lower US wages.

I personally know two friends that had their needs made in China. Pretty much most people from many countries have been getting things made in China. Years ago a local machine shop owner used to get a nice repeat job from a repeat customer.

Suddenly every time he quotes the job and does not get it. So for an experiment, he quoted JUST the material cost, and STILL didn’t get the job. He found out his customer was having them made in China.

I believe Japan was the main global vendor until around 1989, then they rotated to China after that, even Japanese Sony TVs are made in China.

It doesn’t so much as run off, as creep, or sink in. There will be towns downstream of those floods that will be preparing for the water in a few days time. That station runs 29,000 head, on 3.7m acres, or one beast per 130 acres …. and the rains would wash away raised areas. It is truly a unique environment, with unique people living there and running the vastness.

I agree with you it’s not climate change, the land grabs scheme that needs to be stopped. Just not it’s no big deal. Have they ever thought about raising some of that vast land for a emergency like this or having some way to divert that run off into channels away from the herds and ranchers?

Big place, Queensland. With big cattle stations. The biggest is almost 6,000 sq miles, about four and half times the size of the largest ranch in the US of A. And flat. Big, and flat. The Biggest and Flattest Ever, as your boss would say. So when it floods, which it has every now and then for the last 200 years at least, we lose some cattle. Nothing to do with climate change. As the poet said in 1908:

I love a sunburnt country,
A land of sweeping plains,
Of ragged mountain ranges,
Of droughts and flooding rains.

With a national herd of about 30m, and not losing any due to drought for the next three years, we won’t notice 150,000 here or there. Sad for the cattle though.

The general biblical terms are taught when young, the rest is their own imagination and a bad attempt to accept these lunatics ideas instead of reject them. They neglect to say to those at the last minute who h isn’t exactly the last minute but who sacrificed nothing by rejecting what God may have wanted for their own security for instance suddenly getting religion God doesn’t hear them anymore.

Who is in charge of helping them?

Expect meat prices going up too.

I don’t think China stealing our manufacturing base, or patents, our land, our technology, or giving us diseases. I also think the communist party doesn’t care about their people and do what’s best for themselves over the people. I heard the people aren’t too happy about it either. Trump is not stealing in turn he’s just taking back what’s ours in the first place. I supposed now we’ll hear oh what’s he gonna do to ohh poor China.

Did you hear about he floods in Australia?  All that livestock lost while other standing in water till they perish and their calling climate manipulation. Terrible, why didn’t the ones who are the head of that area get the live stock immediately help to get them out of there even now?

Obviously there’s an element of destroying, or at least reducing, China’s manufacturing base – and everybody else’s. That’s Trump’s stated intention of tariffs, to bring manufacturing back to the US. A new tyre factory in the US means less manufacturing in China. But why the 90 day suspension of tariffs on all the good children who brought teacher an apple today? How does that fund the abolition of income taxes and recreate America’s industries? This, together with extra tariffs for China, means he is trying to force them to the table. What if they still don’t come, but retaliate through other means – like rare earths, selling their remaining treasuries or devaluation? And what happens at the end of 90 days? Isn’t that just building more uncertainty? So much can happen in 90 days. He hasn’t been president that long yet!

And that supposedly stellar 10yr auction, where the directs caught even ZH out by missing their expectation of a poor ~7% by coming in at an atrocious 1.4%? The auction was only a stellar success (at a yield of about 10% higher than it was on Monday) because of foreign buyers. I’d love to know whether the Belgians were a significant purchaser like they were in previous crises.