weather underground doppler radar shows the center of irma skimming the north coast of cuba estimated 100 miles east of havana. irma is still moving a little north of due west – along the same bearing she has been following coming up from puerto rico. THIS AFTERNOON’S NORTHERLY TURN PROJECTED BY MANY COMPUTER MODELS HAS NOT MATERIALIZED — YET !!
IF this continues, or if the turn is less sharp, the west coast of florida may get a break, and irma’s forecast path shifts further west. in this case, the gulf coast comes into harm’s way. panama city? pensacola? mobile? probably not as far west as n’awlins.
irma’s max sustained winds are down to 120 mph, and the storm center’s movement has slowed to 7 mph. if she travels across the open gulf, these numbers may rebuild.
remember this one that was supposed to turn north and hit the florida panhandle? it turned north all right, just not where expected.