Loading ...A tanker passed Hormuz on Sunday, but I don’t the nationality of anything. But Monday a Greek ship carrying Saudi oil to India went through. That’s why everything reversed. So Iran’s weapons capability seems under control. Which means nothing as far as the actual war is concerned if regime change is the objective. The new leader is a war veteran from the Iraq/Iran eight year war. His wife (well, one of them anyway) was killed in an Israeli air attack, as was his father, he’s an IRGC approved replacement and possibly more hard line than his father. You’ve got approaching a million IRGC soldiers and stooges embedded in the population; think of it as North Korea lite, who will keep the peasants in order because that gives them their privileges. In addition you have the regular armed forces. Presumably the IRGC guys are all hard core islamic militants or they wouldn’t have the job. So regime change without a land war in Asia is impossible. Actually, even with a land war it’s highly improbable. Trump has blasted Putin for not winning his war Special Operation quickly – ha! let’s see how he goes against a country on their territory (which is totally unforgiving) against a population which has a large percentage of govt. sympathisers. You won’t be welcomed with roses in guns like in Europe.
Maddog, Cap’n, I think you’re both right.
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