in your evaluation of the EU in terms of their ability to even fight a war. It would seem to me they are trying to provoke an attack standing on the basis that NATO/U.S. will get involved. We are in no shape to take that effort on either, if most of Trumps advisors don’t want to open a front on the Houthi’s, pretty hard to imagine they want to take on Russia. I can’t imagine the Turks would be gung-ho either.
The alternative is nuclear. Merz, Macron, and Von der Leyen might just be stupid and desperate enough to do it.