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Tungsten prices rose 310% between January and July, one of the sharpest commodity rallies of the year.
China produced 79% of the world’s mined tungsten in 2025 and controls 85% of refining capacity, its own mined output actually fell 10% year-on-year as export controls tightened.
Even if every announced project outside China succeeds, S&P Global still projects a 16,000-tonne supply gap by 2030.
Prices have already cleared the cost needed to fund new mines. New projects can still take up to 16 years to reach production.
Source: S&P Global (via The Oregon Group)