Should the US blockade be suspended before Iran's nuclear program is addressed?
Total Voters: 42
Loading ...Re Kidding…..No I am not….yes u have it in the SM, but not in Commodity mkts……I met a Guy who traded Oil..but only during Opec meetings, as he had inside info, from inside the meeting….like when they changes the amount of cuts, or increased production etc….
He was a Saudi I think….he thought it was completely normal…!!!!
The aglos on a general basis wont work forever. Reason there’s set like certain numbers following a pattern can be figured out. Maybe not to exact and that along with other things perhaps not included can be figured out. People then make their own aglos to counter or follow them. Direct interference is something else, like the sudden take down of stocks despite the low amount of short interest and no one held accountable.
hip! The algorithm moves everything so the Working Group on Financial Markets can manage everything with complete control.
For me, it’s just a matter of what will break that connection????
I suspect you’re right about Murphy. Hopefully he loses at the ballot box …
Bunch of long-timers here.
Maddog – I assume you’re kidding about “insider trading” if not, another term maybe?
Ipso – nothing will happen to Murphy, these guys never pay for their crimes.
This is horrible today. I’m beginning to think this rally is over. Just ugly.
James Woods
@RealJamesWoods
·
Apr 22
The failed Russia Hoax was designed to give causation to a bogus impeachment. Here, however, we have actual collusion between a United States Senator and representatives of a nation state enemy. What should be the punishment, if true?
redpillbot
@redpillb0t
·
Apr 22
It’s a big club, and you ain’t in it. You and I are not in the big club.
You do realise there is no such thing as insider trading in Commodities…..How do you stop a Brazillian farmer buying hell out of Coffee futures, when he can see ice all over his crop.
It just confirms that there is a two-tiered justice system, and it’s disgusting. It also doesn’t matter which side they’re on both sides are guilty of graft.
I guess it shouldn’t be a surprise from an administration that thinks it’s OK to sell, watches, shoes, bibles and have its own crypto currency.
Big day for NEM today, maybe for the entire sector. If they come out and warn about energy prices we are screwed. Why do I think they’ll do it anyway?
We’re kind of coming back this am. I’m not delusional enough to believe that we will reverse higher, but we have come back significantly. So there’s that.
Sure would be a nice surprise if we didn’t get slaughtered today because it was ugly a little over an hour ago.
I’m sure this helps:
Media confirms US has extended the ceasefire indefinitely…
Peter Gimus via X
I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue. On April 21st, the left screen moved first. I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug. At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy. On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me. At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire. Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83. I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags. My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports. The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026: Reviewed. That’s it. “Reviewed” is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one. Let me show you my flags. March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was “very complete, pretty much.” Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it. March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a “COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION” to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it. April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it. April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran’s foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it. April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it. That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one. The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has “zero tolerance” for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March. Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012. Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence. Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets. The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade. I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email. The President’s son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action. One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called “Burdensome-Mix.” It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela’s president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared. One account is a coincidence. But there were six. Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000. My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger. March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes. The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event. The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is “baseless and irresponsible reporting.” Then the White House sent the email again. I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell “derivative.” I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread. I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated. But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed. Zero prosecutions. As long as the flags go up and the cases don’t, my performance review says I am meeting expectations. I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations. The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still. In my field, we call this price discovery.
Two more examples where there is ZERO ACCOUNTABILITY!
Without it, this greed, power lust corruption will continue with absolutely zero thoughts of the little people.
We’re being played, by government insiders.
A-B-C correction done and we see 5 up done for 1st up of 1st up of 3rd up
and at that has corrected a perfect 38 %….ie we could rally v soon/now
Ross Perot Right he would of turned the tide. I bet they threatened his family.
He took money out of his own pocket and arranged to at other times to save Americans, nothing in it for himself. Kids should either read the book or watch the movie On Wings of Eagles. That was a amazing rescue by A Bull Simmons Perot went to, to get his employees out of Iran. Ross didn’t forget him either, he was in 3 wars, maybe taking on that rescue in retirement was one too many. When he had a heart attack months later Ross flu him from Colorado back to Florida but he could not be saved. Ross had a statue made of him. IMO one of God’s Shepard’s.
as for Oil rallies $ 4.5 and drops $ 4 !!!!
Thanks for the comebacks, I changed my post, I forgot about Ross Perot as a “Trump” in 1992, I voted for him because he was a businessman and wanted to take our country back.
He wants to control where manufacturing occurs. He wants to control interest rates (I’ve just been reading about Warsh’s nomination hearings). He wants to control oil and gas supplies and annex Greenland for it’s mineral wealth. He’s not remotely a free market guy.
Lol Thinking of kids and grandkids. Write them about it now. I think it will work out. Sounds like we’re paying a lot less than they will be. I really don’t like that prediction. Can they really kick the can down the road that long without being able to trust the system again? I guess that’s a stupid question.
