OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

ferrett @ 22:42

Posted by ipso facto @ 8:24 on April 15, 2025  

China’s GDP numbers may still keep coming out within a scintilla of perfection, but the true story will be told by the closed factories with smokestacks clear, by public protests and by the numbers that are not so easy to fudge. I see today that China’s coal imports are down 6%. This does not signal robustness.

Will Xi get replaced? How shaky is his regime? Do we want to keep dealing with him or maybe someone else? At least he is a known factor. The Chinese assault ships haven’t landed in Taiwan. A deal has to be made or else China and the US both will be effed!

Keep that popcorn coming!

Cheers

This article says a lot

Posted by Buygold @ 8:14 on April 15, 2025  

about China’s actual strength and sustainability against the tariffs and more importantly that Trump is fighting a two pronged war against China and the US fed reserve. I believe Bessent and Luttnick were prepared for this.

It also shows the globalists are on the side of China.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-limits-stocks-sales-maintain-impression-stability-bessent-hints-boosting-treasury

Posted by ipso facto @ 8:12 on April 15, 2025  

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Appreciate

Posted by deer79 @ 6:47 on April 15, 2025  

your pithy insights Buygold. Hope you’re right!

Movin’ on up

Posted by Buygold @ 5:47 on April 15, 2025  

Seems that’s the way it’s been going these days. Refreshing change from the previous 14 lost years.

No big moves in anything this am. SM, Oil, Dollar, Rates – all flat. Bitcoin up 1.6%

Gold up $17, silver up $.08, sort of floating higher. PM shares are strong again in premarket. They put in a good showing yesterday while gold gave back a few bucks.

No eco data of significance today.

I’m going out on a limb. I think we’re on the cusp of a rally in silver that’s going to come out of nowhere and blow right thru $35 and head toward $40. It will catch all of us unawares. I’m going to call it the Heinz effect, because we’re going to ketchup.

I think the shares are telling us this.

NEM, AEM earnings next week. 4/23 & 4/24 respectively. They’ll set the tone.

Maya

Posted by Maddog @ 3:33 on April 15, 2025  

All the very best….for yr Op…..

Gold Train

Posted by Maya @ 1:53 on April 15, 2025  

Rare shot of an early ‘fallen flag’
https://www.railpictures.net/photo/878163/

 

Goldie

Posted by Maya @ 1:48 on April 15, 2025  

Thanks for the tips.  I actually got myself some chlorhexidine cleanser some time back and have tried it.  Living in the tropics, fungal infections are not uncommon, and I have discovered that a good scrubbing with chlorhexidine kills it all in one pass!  What a blessing to get rid of that damn itch.. immediately!  And I have had lots of practice getting out of bed straight-legged.  It’s painful to flex in the morning, and I always wait after getting upright for the BP to stabilize… and then handholds while I gently start to bear weight.  I have crutches within reach, and some mornings I have had to use them when that hip joint refuses to bear weight and stabs me.  So I’m well practiced at taking care of that bad joint.  Can’t wait to get rid of it.

Buygold, ipso, China’s been lying forever.

Posted by ferrett @ 22:42 on April 14, 2025  

It became clear 25-30 years ago that the numbers were being fudged. Nobody ever meets their GDP targets to within one tenth of a % year-in year-out, especially when the target was always 5%, later 7%. So when the 64m empty apartment statistic came out in the mid-noughties the explanation was clear; capital misallocated into speculation. Complete with roads, railways and bridges to nowhere, followed by as you say the ghost cities, dozens if not hundreds of them, all build with the help of Aussie coal and iron ore pushing our $ way above parity.

So tariffs aren’t going to affect Chinese GDP at all. 🙂

One can imagine that there are two factions at work in China. The Xi faction determined to not back down from Trump for nationalistic purposes, and the non-Xi one more concerned about social unrest. Because Trump is going to tariff China anyway a certain amount of social pressure will occur regardless, which you would think would strengthen Xi’s hand. In for a penny, in for a pound.

Their military is untested. What can be deduced is that its structure is very political with all ranks selected on the basis of connections, CCP affiliations and bribes. It is going to be totally dysfunctional if it ever comes to battle which is probably quite dangerous as when the invasion of Taiwan, for example, starts going pear shaped the temptation will be to save face by escalating with nukes, which may or may not work either. Especially if Taiwan strikes the dams.

As Buygold said a week (decades ago!) none of the above could be construed as negative for gold – not that we want to find out whether China’s nukes work or not under any circumstances!

Mr Copper

Posted by goldielocks @ 21:45 on April 14, 2025  

Thank you for that. I saw it was in a down trend, short interest isn’t too bad and no numbers that hint of a possible short squeeze. The inside selling is concerning. I haven’t read their financials. On the Pros the selling happened for either TA and or political before China declared a ban. Then President Trump is considering a executive order to stock pile it. Sounds like a good idea anyways ban or no ban.

Maya

Posted by goldielocks @ 21:29 on April 14, 2025  

Sounds like you got yourself a doctor that learned the frontal way which should heal faster and less drainage since your using a 7 day dressing which is usually water proof for showers not baths but it will adhere better if you can wait.

Be careful with the chlorhexidine it is cytotoxic so if you have any scratches it could burn maybe put a dab on if doing it yourself at home want a few minutes to see if it bothers you. Keep it away from soft tissue areas just only on regular skin.

Yes those surgery’s are a blessing for so many. PT physical therapy will probably come get you up sap.

When turning in bed try log rolling and roll to unaffected side keeping affected side aligned. To get up drop your legs while using your arm to push up, sit there for a minute cuz you just had surgery plus drugs a few reasons don’t just try to jump up plus your BP will drop when you rise. So you don’t fall.

 

 

Buygold

Posted by ipso facto @ 19:54 on April 14, 2025  

I agree, it’s hard to know what is true that’s coming out of China. They are certainly a manufacturing powerhouse but they’ve put a lot of borrowing and capital towards unproductive areas … like the ghost cities, which may fall down before they’re ever needed. Debt is a big problem there just like here. I’ve heard that speculation that millions more people in China died of Covid than was reported. Who’s to know!

“Because at the end of the day, I still don’t know anything. ?”

LOL Ain’t it the truth!

Armstrong: “The EU leaders let the Jihadis in by accident-ineptness.”

LOL A tragedy! I really can’t see this as being true. Would make me question Armstrong a bit.

Ipso – and then there’s Martin Armstrong

Posted by Buygold @ 19:43 on April 14, 2025  

He’s convinced that China is the power and takes it a step further to say that if the EU were to join Ukraine and attack Russia, China would join Russia.

The odd thing to me about Armstrong is that he chalks up what’s happening to Europe just as inept EU leaders that didn’t know what they were doing when they brought in all the Jihadi’s. Hard to believe they are just that dumb.

However, he says that China will not back down on the tariffs and they’ll stay firm while Trump capitulates. I guess we’ll find out.

What a time to be alive. The truth is I quit following all this stuff for almost a year and was better off not knowing anything. Because at the end of the day, I still don’t know anything. 🙂

Ipso

Posted by Buygold @ 18:48 on April 14, 2025  

The more I read and research about China, the more I think that outside of nuclear capabilities they are even more of a paper tiger than we are. I’m also concerned with them making a play for Taiwan out of desperation, but China has a massive Achillies heel – The Three Gorges dam. Taiwan could actually reach that with ballistic missiles. The dam is not that well-built, and they’ve had problems, admitting in 2020 that it is “deformed” but still “safe.”

Were it to collapse, they estimate that 1.3-1.9 million people would be killed. Worse than that for them, it would wipe out a huge swath of their manufacturing capabilities.

There’s also a big question out there as to the death toll in China from Covid and their actual population numbers. It may be significantly less than the 1.4 billion they claim. Hard to know exactly, I’ve heard numbers of dead from Covid in the hundreds of millions. Seems crazy to me but I don’t know.

We don’t seem to be that worried about them. Maybe we’re making a mistake, or maybe there’s a reason for that.

We’ve swallowed a lot of fear porn propaganda here in the US about our adversaries. A lot of propaganda about a lot of things.

I don’t know.

Posted by ipso facto @ 17:28 on April 14, 2025  

“Xi and his #2 just had their mistresses arrested.”

Wow I wouldn’t have thought that anyone would have the power to do that!

Well, if China’s on the ropes then we should get a fair deal without waiting too long. Just hope they don’t get desperate and go groping for Taiwan or something!

I’m goin to dig dirt.

Cheers

goldielocks @ 1:23

Posted by Maya @ 16:34 on April 14, 2025  

I have an excellent, Board Certified, young Ortho surgeon here who is meticulous about sterility & infection prevention.  I will be doing surgical scrubdowns with chlorhexidine for three days before surgery.  ‘Minimal invasive’ frontal incision, and they cover it with a long, thick patch afterwards that stays on for 7 days.  I can’t get it wet.  No showers.  Wipe downs only during that time.  They keep me in hospital for two days afterwards for checks and therapy.  Yes, I can have my phone, and taking my kindle to read stuff for the boring hours.

I endured 10 days in hospital on liquid diet when I had colon resection 5 years ago, so this will be much easier to tolerate.  The food is good there, too!  Not looking forward to PostOp pain, but I’ve been enduring 3 years of pain trying to walk on it, so what’s new?  Looking forward to be able to walk with no pain.

Other friends who have had this Doctor are greatly pleased with the outcomes, knees and hips.

Mr Copper

Posted by Buygold @ 15:58 on April 14, 2025  

AG looks good, even better if silver decide to play catch up. I think it will.

I find it interesting

Posted by Buygold @ 15:54 on April 14, 2025  

that the SM is up, and the bond market is well bid with the 10 yr down 9 bips to 4.37%, below the death crossing of 4.5% where the world comes to an end.

How is that possible with China cutting us off from all rare earths?

Further, why would Nvidia announce that they were investing $1/2 Trillion in new plants here in the US to build super computers? Shouldn’t they be investing in China?

Re First Majestic Silver or AG and Why Its Waking Up

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 15:49 on April 14, 2025  

Maybe that good old favorite Silver miner will finally catch up to the others. Its has been one of my under performing dogs.

part: “AG announced that its total production reached 7.7 million silver-equivalent (AgEq) ounces in the first quarter of 2025. The figure includes 3.7 million silver ounces and 36,469 gold ounces. The AgEq ounces produced marked a solid 49% year-over-year increase, attributed to an 88% surge in silver production.”

https://finviz.com/news/20721/first-majestics-q1-silver-equivalent-production-jumps-49-yy

https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/247875/First-Majestic-Produces-7.7-Million-AgEq-Ounces-in-Q1-2025-Including-a-Record-3.7-Million-Silver-Ounces

Ipso – China

Posted by Buygold @ 15:08 on April 14, 2025  

That’s what I meant about doing “research” China isn’t nearly as strong as we’re led to believe.

The Globalists put all their eggs in the Chinese basket and it appears China isn’t as good of a partner for them as they thought. Probably why Larry Fink is losing his mind. They love how China controls their people as a model for us, but forget that rats nests tend to grow in Godless societies. Some pretty ugly rats nests in Europe developing as well.

Xi and his #2 just had their mistresses arrested. Apparently there’s people powerful enough to pull that off in China. Further Xi just arrested two of his highest ranking generals for speaking bad about him. One of his generals was smart though and had files of 1800 officers that had also been critical of Xi.

You can also find endless videos of factories being shut down and product sitting on lifeless barges with nowhere to go.

@goldielocks re MP

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 13:53 on April 14, 2025  

I think the popular stocks have peaked at the end of last year. Miners are somewhat under priced but coming back strong with Gold. I don’t have any confidence in rare earth stocks either. MP or rate earth I see is up 53% in 6 moths but on highs, plus a lot of insider sales.

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MP/ up 53%

Scroll down to see sales:

https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=MP&p=d

Gareth Soloway A good chart reader. He would probably short MP now re chart. He reports every morning for 20 minutes, and talkes about gold and selver near the end.

Mr Copper

Posted by goldielocks @ 13:31 on April 14, 2025  

You have contributed too even if trading or not  trading I enjoy the hobby. I’ve been watching this MP. It looked like it was trying to fill a gap at approx 18.50 before this news but last year it also made a gap it didn’t fill and continued up. It filled one gap at the top another time which is a good time for a sell signal but has been consistently moving up. If watch the phone stocks cuz I’m not sure if the markets bears are done yet so watch the dollar I guess.

goldielocks @ 17:27 re phone and tech stocks

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 13:16 on April 14, 2025  

Thanks for the info.

The candle on the Dow today doesn’t look good.

Posted by goldielocks @ 13:00 on April 14, 2025  

Captain Hook 2:16

Posted by goldielocks @ 12:52 on April 14, 2025  

They’re excuse for a real ID is that they’re giving DL to non citizens even here illegally. Just another expense on us. All they have to do is stamp non citizen across their DL but they have to make it complicated and cost us more money.

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.