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5-14-Sentiment Guru–Mark Hulbert Opinion: Investors are less worried about a stock market crash — and that’s not good

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:15 on May 15, 2021  

Fewer investors fear a catastrophic loss today than they did last summer. Complacency has typically led to lower investment gains.

It’s a bad sign that investors over the past six months have become much less worried about a U.S. stock market crash.

Last summer, 87% of individual investors thought there was a greater-than-10% probability that the stock market would suffer a catastrophic loss within six months — an all-time high.

Since then, that percentage has dropped to 71%, as you can see from this chart:

Those numbers come from a periodic survey introduced in 1989 by Yale University finance professor (and Nobel laureate) Robert Shiller. The monthly survey asks a representative sample of investors the following question:

 

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/investors-are-less-worried-about-a-stock-market-crash-and-thats-not-good-11620386405

 

 

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.