OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

Incredible job by the Cartel-how they created the $1360 Maginot line-congrats to them!

Posted by Richard640 @ 10:04 on March 30, 2018  

“There have now been four re-tests of the zone in 2018 alone”

As we say in the technical analysis game, there is a lot of resistance at $1,360.

Here’s a chart of gold over the last five years.

(By the way, you may notice I’m trying out some new charting software this week – thanks to the guys at Sharescope – and I haven’t quite got on top of it yet, but I’m getting there.)

The two red lines mark the $1,355 to $1,370 area. You can see that, with every attempt since 2014, gold has come down off this level like a balrog in flames.

What is promising about the most recent price action is the fact that the retreat has not been so pronounced. Whereas in 2014 or 2016 the attempts at this level met with sell-offs of $200 or more, the 2017 retreat was “only” $100 or so, but the 2018 pull-backs have been more like $50 and much shorter-lived. Higher lows, in other words.

There have now been four re-tests of the zone in 2018 alone. “The more times a level is tested, the less likely it is to hold”, you will have heard me say many times on these pages. I can’t help thinking that $1,360’s resolve at gold’s Bridge of Khazad-dûm is weakening.

And once we’re through that, I can’t help thinking there should be fairly safe passage through to the mid- to high $1,400s – albeit with a couple of wobbles along the way.

Here’s another good omen for gold

The astute among you might point to the fact that gold’s strength has been as much about US dollar weakness as anything. Against sterling for example, which has been strong, gold is flat, indeed it’s down a few percent compared to where it was after the Brexit vote.

This is true, but then I see your sterling, and raise it bonds and stocks.

It’s early days, so don’t reach for the champagne just yet. But we are starting to see gold outperform both stocks and bonds. It’s been a long time since we have been able to say that – early 2016 aside. If you measure bonds by the iShares Barclays 20+ Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund, (NYSE: TLT), then gold has actually broken out to three-year highs.

Against stocks, the story is less convincing. But over the past couple of weeks, gold has outshone the major stock indices, especially the FTSE 100, which has been awful.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-30/stars-are-slowly-aligning-gold-frisby

Build the WALL,Build the Wall!

Posted by Ororeef @ 8:29 on March 30, 2018  

Then put all those sanctuary advocates on the other side of it…along with the Cali Governor….

Empty the Jails and put them over the wall too.  Put everything in Reverse ..Traffic goes both ways..

Gold Train

Posted by Maya @ 1:03 on March 30, 2018  

rrflasher-copy

Another Canuck train for the MM{cubed} guy…

The CP ‘Empress’ conquers the Canadian Rockies:
http://www.railpictures.net/photo/653270/
http://www.railpictures.net/photo/653269/
http://www.railpictures.net/photo/653263/
Trivia: The white flags at the top front of the engine are old-school railroad signaling indicating that this train is an “Extra”, IE not on the regularly scheduled timetable.

 

some interesting questions…

Posted by treefrog @ 22:17 on March 29, 2018  
why is california so upset about the u. s. citizenship question being added to the census?

if half of the residents of california are not citizens, does this reduce california’s apportionment of congressional districts by half?

would this be reflected in a reduction of votes in the electoral college?

i have read the portions of the constitution that i think are relevant, and the answer is not clear to me.  this will no doubt wind up before the courts.
another interesting question – will it hit the courts before or after kennedy’s replacement is confirmed?

granolistan, the land of flakes, nuts, and fruits continues to be an interesting place to watch….

…from a distance.

Buygold @ 19:06

Posted by ipso facto @ 20:24 on March 29, 2018  

Certainly not a done deal! I’ll believe it when …

In the previous article is written=” appears to be” regarding a 15,000 call share lot-but what about the other 55,000 calls?

Posted by Richard640 @ 20:11 on March 29, 2018  

All of them indicate bearish intentions?

SLV–from Schaeffers Research today

Posted by Richard640 @ 20:06 on March 29, 2018  

TODAY THE SLV APRIL 20TH 2018 $16 CALL=22.079 VOL.—THE $16.50 CALL=35.202 VOL.—[see link at bottom]

******************************************

Options volume is accelerated on the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) this afternoon, with nearly 70,000 calls and 35,000 puts traded. This is more than three times what’s typically seen at this point in the session, with volume pacing in the 100th annual percentile. Diving deeper, it looks like speculators are targeting a key technical level for SLV ahead of a historically tough month.

**************************

Specifically, the April 16.50 call is most active in SLV’s options pits so far, with 35,140 contracts on the tape. The bulk of this action — including a 15,000-contract block — appears to be of the sell-to-open kind, meaning traders expect the shares to churn below $16.50 through the close on Friday, April 20, when the front-month options expire.  This region has served as an overhead ceiling for SLV shares for some time, with the last monthly close north of here coming in August 2017. What’s more, $16.50 coincides with a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the trust’s rally from July through September of last year. More recently, the shares have been chopping between support at $15.30 and resistance near $15.90 since early February.

***************************

This disappointing price action could continue over the next several weeks, if history is any guide. According to Schaeffer’s Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, SLV has been one of the worst-performing exchange-traded fund’s (ETF) in April, turning in a positive monthly performance in just three of the past 10 years. On average, SLV returns 1.31% in April — a move that would put the shares right in the middle of their recent range, based on the current trading price of $15.40.

********************************

However, data from White shows SLV has been the best ETF in the second quarter — potentially bad news for the massive amount of speculators that are currently short on silver. Over the last decade, the shares have ended the second quarter positive 90% of the time, boasting an average return of 9.7%. A similar swing higher would put SLV near $16.90 by the end of June, territory not seen since last September.

*******************************
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SLV/options?p=SLV&date=1524182400

Ipso – Great news if…

Posted by Buygold @ 19:06 on March 29, 2018  

His Neocon cabinet – aka John Bolton and Israel will allow it…

I have my doubts the warmongers will let us out of Syria or the M.E. anytime soon

Yes! Let’s get the eff out!

Posted by ipso facto @ 18:52 on March 29, 2018  

Trump: “We’re Coming Out Of Syria Very Soon; Others Can Take Care Of It Now”

President Donald Trump made a surprise announcement on Thursday afternoon, stating during a speech in Richfield, Ohio dedicated to Trump’s infrastructure week, that US forces will be withdrawing from Syria, citing the defeat of ISIS and the need to defend US borders and rebuild crumbling infrastructure: “We’re coming out of Syria very soon. Let the other people take care of it now.” Others like Russia perhaps?

cont. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-29/trump-were-coming-out-syria-very-soon-others-can-take-care-it-now

Happy Easter Everyone!

Posted by ipso facto @ 18:17 on March 29, 2018  

and VOTE IN THE POLL VOTE IN THE POLL

Posted by treefrog @ 16:57 on March 29, 2018  

10174931_10202040211382385_8197832498579004413_n

MM

Posted by ipso facto @ 16:36 on March 29, 2018  

and here I thought you were a master of the obscure!

Happy Easter one and all.

Posted by Maddog @ 16:30 on March 29, 2018  

second amendment repeal? AIN’T GONNA HAPPEN!

Posted by treefrog @ 16:20 on March 29, 2018  

former supreme court justice john paul stevens has urged the repeal of the second amendment.

don’t worry.  repealing the second amendment would be incredibly difficult. what it would take is a two thirds majority of the house and senate plus a majority of the legislatures in three quarters of the states to go on record trying to cancel part of the bill of rights.
any politician over the age of twenty one realizes that would be an act of political suicide.
anybody who thinks there are that many politicians willing to end their careers, well, i want to know what you’ve been smoking.  i want to buy stock in whoever’s selling it.

macroman3

Posted by Maddog @ 16:03 on March 29, 2018  

Re Huang on……they’ll take it out of my cold dead hands !!!!

Hey ipso, sorry I’m not up on my Lord of the Rings.

Posted by macroman3 @ 15:32 on March 29, 2018  

I can’t even keep up with those Dungeons and Dragons tokens called Etherium, Hopium and Bitcoin.

treefrog … you’re welcome!

Posted by ipso facto @ 15:01 on March 29, 2018  

Have had several people lately lose their ability to post with no changes made on our end. Fortunately it seems an easy fix with a new PW.

macroman3

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:59 on March 29, 2018  

In the poll so far not much enthusiasm for self driving cars …

Millenials will probably embrace them.

I had this thought the other day:

Millenials = Eloi
Mexicans = Morlocks

🙂

PS Morlocks at least in the sense that they do the work.

ipso,

Posted by treefrog @ 14:52 on March 29, 2018  

thx!

Maddog, 11:32, to extend ipso excellent selection yesterday, the new title is Huang On Sloopy

Posted by macroman3 @ 14:48 on March 29, 2018  

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I6taC4Qxq7g

A bulletin from Bizarro world-all the G&S stuff I track is up top tick…yet comex gold down 1.30–silver up just 7 cent–but SLV still huffing & puffing=up 4 cent-it’ll catch up Monday.

Posted by Richard640 @ 14:23 on March 29, 2018  

Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL)–30.62+0.52 (+1.73%)

As of 2:07PM EDT. Market open.

Spy Organizations

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:21 on March 29, 2018  

Think Facebook knows a lot about you? Google is WORSE! From deleted files to location history, IT expert reveals the extent of the personal data the search giant holds on you

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-5557619/IT-expert-reveals-extent-data-Google-you.html

In stocks. today is quarter end window dressing

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:07 on March 29, 2018  

From ZH reader=Correlations tend to move toward 1 during crash waves (mass-correlated hyper-volatile illiquidity events). There is no “rotation” during a crash, there is only panic and margin clerks.

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:06 on March 29, 2018  
Predictions are difficult to make, especially if they’re about the future.
-Neils Bohr, physicist
****************************************
Or, as Nassim Taleb argues, we form our guesses about the future (and associated risks) based upon the scientific notion of normal distributions but the really impactful events in life are those that lay outside these ‘bell curve’ estimates and create what he termed ‘Black Swan Events’. Any number of Black Swan Events could send the variables that make up the complex systems discussed here sideways in totally unexpected ways.
********************************
It is a lot more involved than that. In the long term the primary drivers of the uptrend are incessant monetary inflation and the so-called “survivor bias” – any company the market cap of which falls below the applicable threshold in a given quarter is simply chucked out of the index and replaced by the nearest one that has overtaken it in terms of market cap. 
In the short term, rotation effects do become a noticeable feature, but none of this matters if and when a really important trendline or lateral support line breaks at the end of a bubble. Correlations tend to move toward 1 during crash waves (mass-correlated hyper-volatile illiquidity events). There is no “rotation” during a crash, there is only panic and margin clerks. 
**********************************

Maddog-yeah!! I saw bonds up earlier…I just got this from Ballinger re: PMs

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:03 on March 29, 2018  
In PMs Mike Ballinger asserts that=
*********************************
Shares ALWAYS lead the metal and option activity leads the shares. Share performance ALWAYS confirms or rejects the gold move and silver and the mining shares are confirmation indicators for the entire sector.
 
HUI up, SIL up., silver up….gold is a “buy”.
 
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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.