my guess is gap up. we’ll know in a little while…

…we are living in interesting times.

DXY down a %, AUD .6924 up 0.5% and yen up 3.2Y, 2%.

{edit} so a very strong start, Buygold.

Anyone have a gut feel? I know that a nasty pullback is overdue, but Friday didn’t feel like one would be coming tonight.

Crazy times.

SNG – it is appointed to us to know the season. We are in the fig tree generation, and these are the days of Noah old friend.

China’s Top General Accused of Giving Nuclear Secrets to U.S.

China’s senior-most general is accused of leaking information about the country’s nuclear-weapons program to the U.S. and accepting bribes for official acts, including the promotion of an officer to defense minister, said people familiar with a high-level briefing on the allegation

https://archive.ph/bArnf#selection-751.0-751.282

Davos — The World Economic Forum (WEF)— is toast. Trump, Bessent, and Lutnick exposed the wretched org of overcompensated squishes to too much light and heat and it flared into such a pathetic little smoldering cinder that its spoxpersons said the meeting might get moved out of Davos altogether next year to Dublin or Detroit. Closer to the people, you understand (except there are hardly any people left in Detroit, thanks to the fifty years of WEF influence on manufacturing policy and the people of Dublin are now Nigerians, Somalis, and Congolese, thanks to the WEF’s retarded migration doctrine).

https://www.kunstler.com/p/up-in-smoke

….will never own any silver and will still be waiting when  silver hits $200 and gold hits $6,000, creating the next pause at ratio 30/1. FWIW from SNG!

Why Silver’s Supply Crisis Can’t Be Easily Fixed & MSA’s Michael Oliver’s Roadmap to $300-$500 silver!

It happened! At 10:47 AM on Friday, January 23, 2026, silver crossed $100 for the first time in human history. Wow! This was not just another milestone; it was a paradigm shift, a moment that will be etched in the annals of financial history.

For years, we have been told that it was impossible, a fantasy, a delusion. We were ridiculed, mocked, and dismissed. And yet, here we are. Silver did not just touch $100; it smashed through it with a vengeance, a testament to the powerful, undeniable forces that have been building beneath the surface for years.

While the paper markets in the West were still reeling from the shock, the physical markets in the East were already in overdrive. In Shanghai, the price of silver surged to an astonishing $111.60, and is now approaching $115.

This is not a speculative frenzy; it is a desperate scramble for physical metal, a recognition that the paper promises of the West are no longer credible. The arbitrage window is wide open, and the suction sound we hear is the sound of the world’s remaining silver stockpiles being drained from the vaults of London and New York and shipped to the factories and vaults of Asia.

This is not a bubble. This is a fundamental repricing of silver in a world that is losing faith in fiat currency. It is the culmination of a multi-year structural deficit, a chronic underinvestment in new supply, and an explosion in industrial and investment demand.

It is the moment that the silver stackers, the true believers, have been waiting for. This is our vindication and victory. The financial world has been put on notice: the age of paper is over, and the age of hard assets is here.

• You need to understand this is a historic moment. Silver has broken $100 for the first time in human history. This is not a drill. This is a paradigm shift that will permanently alter the financial landscape.
• You need to understand the supply crisis is real. Silver is in its sixth consecutive year of a structural deficit, with demand outstripping supply by over 200 million ounces annually. This cannot be fixed quickly.
• You need to understand the East is draining the West. The Shanghai premium of $10-15 is driving a massive physical drain from COMEX and LBMA vaults.
• You need to understand this is a regime change. The silver market has shifted from a paper-driven casino to a physically-driven reality. The old rules no longer apply.
• You need to understand this is not a bubble. This is a fundamental repricing based on a perfect storm of supply shortages, unprecedented demand, and a collapsing monetary system.
• You need to understand the gold-silver ratio has massive room to run. At over 50, the ratio is still in its historical median range. A return to the historical low zone of 15-20 would imply a silver price of $250-$333 at a $5,000 gold price.
• And you need to understand the experts are scrambling to catch up. Price targets are being revised upwards on an almost daily basis. Dr. Nomi Prins is now calling for $150-$180, Michael Oliver is targeting $300-$500, and the World Bank chart implies $310 by 2027.

Silver breaks $100 for the first time in human history. The silver supply crisis can’t be easily fixed, nor will it. And I am going to share Michael Oliver’s roadmap to $300-$500 silver and more below!

Let’s Dig into The Following:

1. Yesterday’s silver price action was a moment that made history. For those who have been in the trenches of the precious metals market for years, the moment was surreal. After decades of suppression, manipulation, torment, and ridicule, silver finally broke free. The speed of the ascent was breathtaking, a testament to the coiled energy that had been building in this market for years, if not decades. Why this is the hallmark of a market in the early stages of a parabolic advance, a market that is beginning to attract the attention of the mainstream, a market that is on the verge of truly going vertical!
2. We should not forget that there is supply crisis that can not be wished or faked away. The explosive move in silver is not a random event. It is the predictable consequence of a severe and deepening supply crisis that has been years in the making. For six consecutive years, the world has consumed significantly more silver than it has produced and demand is rising higher each year. Why this is not a cyclical imbalance; it is a structural deficit, a chasm between supply and demand that is now widening at an alarming rate!
3. There is a huge factor coming from the East that is pulling silver higher, and that is the Shanghai premium and the great physical silver drain of the West. One of the most telling indicators of the true state of the silver market is the persistent and widening premium for physical metal in the East, particularly on the Shanghai Gold Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange. While the paper markets in London and New York were still struggling to break through the $100 barrier, the price of silver in Shanghai was already soaring past $110, and is now approaching $115. Why this is not a small discrepancy; it is a massive, structural arbitrage that is driving a one-way flow of physical metal from West to East!
4. There is a regime change underway and this time is different. For decades, the silver market has been a playground for paper traders. The price has been set not by the fundamentals of supply and demand, but by the whims of hedge funds and bullion banks trading massive, leveraged positions in the futures market. This is the paper tail wagging the physical dog. But that era is now over. Why we are in the midst of a profound regime change, a shift from a paper-driven market to a physically-driven one and it changes everything!
5. The gold-to-silver (GSR) ratio is turning out to be silver’s secret weapon. While the absolute price of silver is making headlines, the real story for savvy investors is the GSR. This simple metric, which measures how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold, is one of the most powerful indicators of value in the precious metals space. And right now, it is screaming that silver is still cheap.

   Even after its explosive move to over $100, the GSR is still hovering above 50. To put that in perspective, the historical low for the ratio is closer to 15-20. How a return to that historical low would imply a silver price of $250-$333 at a $5,000 gold price!

6. And there are experts who have been accurate throughout this move, that are laying out a roadmap on what comes next. In a market that is moving this fast, it is easy to get caught up in the emotions and narratives of the moment. That is why it is so important to have a roadmap, a framework for understanding where we are and where we are going and from people who have been accurate. And there is no better guide to the current market than Michael Oliver of Momentum Structural Analysis (MSA). For months, Oliver has been laying out a clear and consistent roadmap for the silver market. He has been telling his subscribers and anyone who will listen, that silver is going to a “new price reality, period!” And his predictions have been uncannily accurate. Why while the mainstream will be screaming silver is in a bubble, he expects silver to resume its upward march after a wiggle in the charts, with speed and a vengeance, soaring to the $300-$500 level!

Mathew 24 tells all that is to come in these end times…Best to prepare while you can with SNG.

Mega Quakes, Mega Drought & Mega Volcanoes – Steve Quayle

I’m hoping this is a long-term price reset and $100 becomes a floor. Next week may tell us a lot. Definitely not going to hurt the demand picture if the US Gov’t starts that silver reserve.

Re stox

U can buy a number as the stox have yet to show relative strength…they are still on a ratio basis on the floor, barely 1/3 rd of where they were at the 2007 Hi in metals….so just to equal that ratio Hi requires a 5 times rise, with metal staying here…… and if the metals continue rise that multiple expands…..u could be talking 25 times.

The Silver shares are an even better deal, as they are still at near historic lows !!!!

But calling it a ‘strategic reserve’ is a bit of a stretch. They used to have 6bn ounces! Now, THAT’S a reserve.

Looks like the govt. has caught on to the mother-in-law’s strategy. Sell low, buy high.

@silvertrade
🚨BREAKING:
White House currently considering a strategic silver reserve 🚨

🔥US Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Create $2.5 BILLION Strategic Stockpile – Reuters

https://x.com/silvertrade/status/2015212773978816748?s=42

Treefrog – nice summary.

I have friend hates stock market, has physical, but I said you should put something in some miners or at least SLVR.
I wonder if he might rather ‘throw’ a little at a few juniors hoping for a homerun.
Does anyone know of a handful worth taking a shot with? Or even your favorite.

It seems we may not need the rally monkey anymore.
Everyone – i didnt go last time, but count me in for any celebration.

Wow, I guess I forgot that this site has been up that long. I followed this group over from that “other” forum.
thanks to all as I have learned so much.

All we would be celebrating is being right, and living long enough to see it. Many friends have departed since Vronsky brought us together in the ’90s. Back then, the celebration would have been that we were right, the system has collapsed, we are rich and are well positioned to enjoy the rebuilding of the economy based on sound money. But ‘they’ have kicked the can down the road so far, with ever more cunning delaying tactics, so that now we are proven right all we can see is a mess so big that, as goldie says, survival is a more important aspect that rebuilding. So yes.

We were right.  Dammit!!

I still remember the Kona coffee you sent to us at the north Georgia meeting.

thanks again.

aurum

😎

I have to second that on the rally monkey. I don’t think it’s the monkey though just attention it gets by the greeneyed shorts.

So many are no longer here now and I don’t think most of us could see just how bad things could get and turned more into survival, that winning if you’d call it that has come with a cost or even if some become a millionaire at this point cant even make plans with it anymore other than to pass down. I do hope some are still able to be a productive part of  a hopefully better economy when the dust settles cuz it isn’t over yet.

The Silver Charger was the first Zephyr
https://www.railpictures.net/photo/898401/

Bob are you still in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin -13 and -23 tonight

Storm covering all the way down to Georgia from the east coast.

To Texas from the mid west.

https://x.com/GoldEagleCom He has quite the following

Doing a search of this site for rally monkey, I am surprised how many folks wanted me to post it.  But quite frankly I am afraid to do it.  I have rally monkey caged where he/she will stay.

I remember the group get together in the north Georgia mountains.  I would talk about it but so many have passed.

Should another similar get-together be planned anywhere near the east coast, count me in.

So many of the old posters are gone, it is somewhat depressing to even log on.

But I am ready for a new group of tentsters.

aurum