The metals have been sniffing this out for months, which explains their relentless march higher. But the real fireworks are just beginning.
Fed Chair Powell dropped the most bullish signal for precious metals in years, and many mainstream investors completely missed it. Powell announced that the Fed will stop shrinking its balance sheet “in the coming months” as they’re seeing tightening in money markets.
Translation: Quantitative Tightening (QT) is ending, and Quantitative Easing (QE) is likely soon to be coming back.
This isn’t just another policy adjustment; this is rocket fuel for metals, and the mining sector is about to experience an explosion that will make the 1970s and early 2000s look like warm-up acts.
Powell’s Hidden Message: The QT Death Knell
While markets focused on Powell’s non-committal stance on interest rates, the real bombshell was buried in his comments about the Fed’s balance sheet.
Speaking to the National Association for Business Economics, Powell revealed that the Fed is “closely monitoring a wide range of indicators” and may approach the point where they stop balance sheet runoff “in coming months.”
The key phrase that should have every metals investor’s attention: “some signs have begun to emerge that liquidity conditions are gradually tightening.” This is Fed-speak for “we’re running out of room to continue QT without breaking something.”
When the Fed starts worrying about liquidity conditions, the next step is usually the same; open the monetary floodgates.
Since mid-2022, the Fed has reduced its balance sheet by $2.2 trillion, from a peak of nearly $9 trillion down to just over $6 trillion. But Powell made it clear they have no intention of returning to the pre-COVID balance sheet size of $4 trillion.
The other incredibly interesting takeaway was, when asked about the rise in gold and what that means, not only did Powell refuse to answer the question, he wouldn’t even say the word “gold.”
He looks nervous, twitchy, and not in a good place. Watch it here and decide for yourself.
Why QE Is Inevitable And Likely Coming Sooner Than Later
The Fed’s decision to end QT isn’t happening in a vacuum. It’s happening against a backdrop of mounting fiscal pressures, slowing economic growth, and a labor market that Powell himself admits is showing “downside risks.”
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