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Yeah, I don’t know what I was thinking when I said “it’s different this time.”
It’s never really different is it?
It does appear that the billions of oz. of paper contracts that are short silver on LBMA might have a problem though. I guess this is what a default looks like.
I do expect the Crimex to raise margin requirements this am again to try to stop the rise. It’s the American way. 🤔
a result of multi leveraged re-hypothecated cross collateralised obligations. And an inability to execute trades quickly enough putting the whole system under immense stress. One domino falling triggered multiple cascades in every direction. A bit like we might expect derivatives to fail if the system gets too stressed. Nobody knows the counter-counter-counter party.
Re the Crazies…..the only way they can keep any power, is if elections are cancelled, a free vote will see them destroyed…..In the UK if an election was held now, Farages’s Reform would have a huge majority and Starmers Labour, would barely exist….similar in France and soon in Germany.
Yes, I know. Same with oil refineries, I don’t think we’ve built one in what, 50 years?
If this were wartime, and we needed them, you can bet those regulations would be stripped away and we’d have those things built very quickly. That’s what he needs to do somehow.
Gold and silver getting some traction now in early trading.
Hard to say. Spot market opened and platinum and palladium are rocking. Silver lagging behind but still up. I’m not sure how much they can do as long as people are demanding delivery.
Trump came out with his own praise of Xi today. 4-D chess I guess.😂
If you want to get to Trump, just get the markets to sell off some. He hates it when that happens.
I will be happy when this country is able to produce its own rare earths, but mining restrictions have made it impossible in the past. I doubt he’ll get it done during his term either.
Our politicians sold us out to China, we still rely on them for too much.
Crypto may be doing what we all thought it would do eventually. I don’t know about Bitcoin but these other “alt-coins” will never recover from those losses, and if some of them are still barely standing, they are done now too.
The way the analysts are talking reminds me of the .com days, saying things will stabilize to keep people in. I don’t know why tariffs would matter to crypto, just the excuse. This will wipe out a whole generation of Gen Z crypto traders.
As for silver, Maloney said $60-65 this year. I don’t know. As you say, since they are out of supply, nothing else really matters, especially paper contracts. I hope it keeps going, especially if the SM crashes.
Apparently this “historic” event was triggered by a guy imposing sanctions on a country. Whilst I understand the implications of these tit-for-tat sanctions if they truly are the cause of the “historic” event then crypto’s sensitivity to, well, anything really, is bizarre. What would happen if something serious actually occurred? Do crypto owners know why a sanctions spat would eliminate 100% of some positions? Clearly the 80% nuking of the top 100 “blue chip” tokens requires a new definition of ‘blue chip’.
This time may be the ultimate squeeze…as during the Hunt run, the Hunts bought on margin, so they could be forced out, by raising margins and they were, they just couldn’t get the money in fast enough and of course there was a load of pressure to stop their backers, in the ME to stop the game…..Moccata was one US bank, that was days from going bust, as they had shorted all the way up….I was told that by someone who was in Moccata.
This time the shortage is for Physical metal and the price is still relatively cheap, having been suppressed for decades….. so it maybe much harder to to stop the run…….
However some of the price run, is tks to Tariff worries , if those are cancelled, we may see decent sell off.