OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

For me this was a useful review of silver’s prospects. See the 19-minute item, ‘The #1 reason…’, dated 29 January 2019

Posted by Equisetum @ 19:49 on July 26, 2019  

https://www.google.com/search?q=silver+slam+a+rama&oq=silver+slam+a+rama&aqs=chrome..69i57j33.10148j0j3&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

Tanzanian Gold (TRX)

Posted by commish @ 18:01 on July 26, 2019  

Finished the week at .9564.  Did break over a dollar to 1.01 but…

My other boy wonder Aurora Cannabis (ACB) closed at 6.41 hasn’t done nuttin since I bought it a few months ago.

Not. that it really matters anymore but another stinko COT report courtesy Murph tonite

Posted by Richard640 @ 18:00 on July 26, 2019  
The Commitment of Traders Report

Silver

*The large specs increased their long positions by 9,680 contracts and reduced their shorts by 7,656 contracts.

*The commercials reduced their longs by 4,116 contracts and increased their shorts by 12,665 contracts. 

*The small specs reduced their longs by 651 contracts and decreased their shorts by 96 contracts.

The commercials are net short 76,138 contracts.

Gold

*The large specs increased their long positions by 2,346 contracts and reduced their shorts by 3,403 contracts.

*There was no change in the commercials longs but they increased their shorts by 10,431 contracts.

*The small specs increased their longs by 4,849 contracts and increased their shorts by 167 contracts.

The commercials are net short 287,839 contracts.

The Gold Cartel can’t help themselves. Same drill over and over again. It appears the only way the silver market will ever go up in our lifetime is a JPM related Commercial Signal Failure. If the gold physical market overpowers the cabal, then that is what we ought to get in silver.

The odds of that occurrence in silver are probably a good deal higher than most people think.

This is Comex Aug gold–closed up 4.60. Dec gold up. 4.70=From FOX Biz. news at close of. e-trading-[Globex]- at 5:15 pm in NY-gold was up 3.80 then got a 90 cent kick up going into the 5:15 close.

Posted by Richard640 @ 17:36 on July 26, 2019  
Aug’19 1414.9 1424.8 1412.9 1419.3 15:59
Jul 26
1419.3s —+4.6 —297841

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/marketquotes/GC_.html

Dec’19 1427.4 1437.6 1425.6 1432.2 15:59
Jul 26
1432.2s____ +4.7 —-113607

Captain

Posted by Buygold @ 17:31 on July 26, 2019  

I sure hope you’re right. You’ve been in the mix and know its been a long time suffering through the fits and starts.

Hopefully this is the real deal in terms of a rally.

error

Posted by Richard640 @ 17:28 on July 26, 2019  

Buygold

Posted by Captain Hook @ 15:43 on July 26, 2019  

Ya…they are going to lose this time.

Cheers

COT’s – Banksters pressing their bets

Posted by Buygold @ 15:35 on July 26, 2019  

https://cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmxlf.htm

They’ve been doing that for awhile now.

Truth teller David. Rosenberg…only problem is no one is listening and no. one cares…party on!

Posted by Richard640 @ 15:24 on July 26, 2019  

So many people can’t see past the tips of their nose. As if a 2.1% second-quarter GDP print eliminates recession risk. Back to 1945, the median and average real growth was 2.4%, and 3.2% respectively just as the downturn was about to get going. How about that?

Not to mention another Houdini act. Strip out the effects of the savings rate drawdown and the sharpest government spending run-up since the Great Recession, and real GDP growth was FLAT in Q2!

Maddog

Posted by Buygold @ 15:22 on July 26, 2019  

3 days would fit perfectly with the Fed announcement on Wednesday. Whether we rally from there is anyone’s guess.

Job’s report Friday will also come into play.

Funny – I’m conditioned to look for this stuff that shouldn’t even matter.

Buygold

Posted by Maddog @ 14:58 on July 26, 2019  

Under Ewave I think we are in what can be called a 2nd wave dn of the 3rd wave up…that is we correct the move 22 Apr to 25 June ’19.

This the C wave dn…so far it has been pretty tame…time wise A was 9 days, B the spike up was 9 days…so far this is the 6th day..so maybe 3 more days dn/sideways….that’s the theory….

Hey Maddog

Posted by Buygold @ 13:53 on July 26, 2019  

Barring some miracle close for NEM, they’ll paint their bearish chart.

Hoping this pullback doesn’t get too nasty in the pm sector.

The dollar is on fire and silver has lost its mojo in the last couple of days. Can’t really trust a post Fed .25 rate cut rally because that’s baked into the cake unless it’s accompanied by some really dovish language.

Not sure how we resume a rally unless the USD reverses course and rates start to come down again. Seems to me the rest of the world is content to attack our economy by letting dollar strength destroy exports.

Buygold

Posted by Maddog @ 13:28 on July 26, 2019  

Re Nem they’re trying to paint a Hammer top/reversal on the Monthly chart.

Short of a miracle we will get a 4 week Key Reversal to the downside today…that will scare away quite a few TA types.

Meanwhile their beloved SM cruises on higher, making yet more record Hi’s and the Dollar is still King.

ZHs’ intelligent. and sagacious readers

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:15 on July 26, 2019  
X22 Report is some good shit. Fascinating to say the least. 
I hope everyone is getting the fuck out of debt. The people out there with out a single penny in the bank, with massive auto loan debt and student loans, etc. are walking zombies. Their situation is grim now, and about to be devastating when the down turn hits. 
  Corporate debt is going to get slammed so hard. The financial chicanery that’s taking place is so dishonest.
  FWIW PE ratios are already high by historic standards, without even accounting for the [outstanding shares and buybacks] gimmickry.
They are trying to keep asset prices elevated as long as possible whilst hoping that significant (and sustainable) economic growth comes along.  Alas, hoping for miracles ain’t much of a strategy…  The real questions is who will have the G-U-T-S to try and tackle the debt problem.  I have real doubts than anyone will until the bubble bursts.  People in power generally don’t want deep federal spending cuts that impact their own constituents. 
That’s my plan. I am keeping a straight face and not talking about this shit to anyone else, “oh yeah, everything is awesome. It’s great!”
But by night I am making plans – cash, gold, loading up on as much debt CAPACITY (not using it), getting my house in order cuz I am starting to have flashbacks to 2008….anyone else getting the same vibes?

going green…

Posted by treefrog @ 12:48 on July 26, 2019  

hui, jnug, wheaties, impact, first majestic….  others…

P.S.–if gold can comeback from this sell off. and end the day up 8 or 10 bucks [or more]

Posted by Richard640 @ 12:42 on July 26, 2019  

that. would be a. rather bullish event.

HORSE. CRAP GDP–2017–2018–

Trump’s “Greatest Economy Ever” Revised Away By Annual Data ‘Corrections’

 President Trump’s much-heralded 3.0% GDP growth in 2018 – “greatest economy ever” – has been slashed by annual revisions.

As Bloomberg reportsupdated government figures show that gross domestic product expanded 2.5% on a fourth-quarter-over-fourth-quarter basis last year.
That compares with a previous estimate of 3% and an upwardly revised 2.8% in 2017, the first year of Trump’s presidency

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-07-26/trumps-greatest-economy-ever-revised-away-annual-data-corrections

Captain–good point about the “propagandized” headline…Thanks. for that. and. your other insights…

Posted by Richard640 @ 12:29 on July 26, 2019  

we all needed that morale booster…I gotta keep reminding myself that currently “all roads lead to gold”…or “the inevitability of gold”

“Q2 GDP Smashes Expectations As Personal Spending Soars Most Since 2014”, was designed to spook the PM specs out of there positions.

is there an echo in here?

Posted by treefrog @ 11:02 on July 26, 2019  

a) bullish open

b) slapdown

c) modest rebound

d) lather, rinse, repeat

 

all we need is bill Murray and a marmot.

R6

Posted by Buygold @ 10:02 on July 26, 2019  

Shares don’t seem to believe these gains are going to hold.

GDX down, HUI down. A lot of the juniors down.

Guess it was time to let some air out of the pm’s. Just hoping not too much.

NEM leading the charge to the downside.

The sector is waking up from a 6 year bear mkt

Posted by Maddog @ 10:00 on July 26, 2019  

yet the scum by smashing NEM would have u believe that shareholders, who sweated a 6 year bear, are dumping it as fast as they can…..

The good news is that it is now a bargain, tks to the scums crazy manipulation.

We might escape further beatings today, as the Dollar has a bid and the SM is within sniffing distance of it’s all time Hi..plus Gold is below 1430.

Richard640

Posted by Captain Hook @ 9:29 on July 26, 2019  

The headline number, generating the headline “Q2 GDP Smashes Expectations As Personal Spending Soars Most Since 2014”, was designed to spook the PM specs out of there positions. The fact it did not is yet another departure from typical ‘status quo’ price management. As stated previously, we have finally reached the point physical demand is out-trumping the paper markets.

Can you imagine if the genius banker price managers in New York ever figure out they should be buyers of PM’s as opposed to sellers?

Can you imagine how much prices will go up when these idiots are forced into the market, if one still exists at such a point.

We can only dream.

As mentioned previously, once silver decidedly moves through $16.50 say good bye to the 1 handle in fairly quick order.

And then once through $21 … the genie will be out of the bottle.

Cheers

A few highlights=business investment, and housing investment decreased

Posted by Richard640 @ 9:14 on July 26, 2019  

government spending boosted the bottomline Q2 GDP by 0.85%, the biggest contribution to GDP since 2009 as it climbed by a whopping 5%.

 
But if personal and government spending was the good news, trade was not, as exports subtracted 0.63% from the bottom line, the biggest drop since Q1 2009!
 
Residential investment was also ugly, dipping for a sixth straight quarter, the longest streak since 2009.
Looking at all the components, the Q2 increase in real GDP reflected increases in consumer spending and government spending, while inventory investment, exports,=. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

Captain-Buygold-Maddog–Actually I’m pretty satisfied–coulda. been a lot. worse–Liesman pointed out that the number was bumped up

Posted by Richard640 @ 8:58 on July 26, 2019  

a few points by deferred Federal spending and. increased state spending..the main thing this report does. is. guarantee that the rate cut will definitely. happen–had it been a blockbuster. number then the cut wouldn’t be a certainty–so now. the Street and traders can set that [next wednesdays cut] aside…and again foucus on the REAL reasons gold should be bought…how. bout, for openers, the HIDEOUS trillion dollar spending bill that. was just approved…howz about debt. & money printing…and the greek 10 yr bond yielding less. than the u.s. 10 yr note …and all the other 172 reasons to own gold

Gold up 4.90–and. ignoring the “stronger” [cough! cough!] GDP report. and the green $–up a modest .153—THIS set-up possibly allows for a rather SUBSTANTIAL up day for G&S…we’re back to gold leading but that’s fine…gold led PMs out of the doldrums and got. it over 1350….so,  Vishnu willing, gold will lead us over the hump=1500

Not really weak GDP numbers

Posted by Buygold @ 8:39 on July 26, 2019  

at least not weak enough to hammer the USD or rates.

I guess if we hold flat today it will be a victory, SM lost a few points but likely will pop right back.

Fed will cut .25 because the SM demands it, but I think it won’t be enough to satisfy the addicts.

 

I’m shocked….not

Posted by Maddog @ 8:32 on July 26, 2019  

Dlr SM bid PM offered….no idea what the No’s are nor probably are the scum Algo’s….they just know it is 8.30 am….

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.