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Waves and Fib No’s for GDX

Posted by Maddog @ 17:08 on September 14, 2026  

here we see 5 up and 3 down….27 days up and 14 down, so wave 2 is @ 50 % of wave in time and nearly 0.38 % in price

gdx

Here we break down the 2nd wave dn ..especially the c wave….which is clearly 5 wave.

Wave i = 3.08
wave ii= 1.06
wave iii = 3.44
wave iv = 1.07

therefore waves i and iii are equal, as are waves ii and iv…if wave v is equal to wave i, then the tagert for wave v is close at 94.02 ( 97.10- 3.08)….we closed at 94.14 tonight……looks like the 2nd wave is done…we shud run up fast from here in the next wave 3 up.

gdx

Re Backing the US dollar with Gold, $50,000–$100,000 per oz

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 16:54 on September 14, 2026  

I asked ChatGPT If the US Gov’t or Treasury, or the Fed Res, regarding all the US dollars in existence, was going to back the US dollar with Gold and Silver what would those prices be, especially for Gold.

Ans:

Yes. This is where the numbers get very interesting, and I think it fits the question you’ve been asking about a possible monetary reset.

The answer depends on what you mean by “all U.S. dollars.” There are several possible denominators.

The U.S. Treasury reports about 261.5 million troy ounces of gold in the government’s reserve.

If the dollar were backed by U.S. gold

Using roughly $22 trillion of M2 money as the dollars to be backed:

$22 trillion ÷ 261.5 million oz = about $84,000 per ounce of gold.

So:

What is backed Approx. gold price
Federal Reserve monetary base ~$20,000–$25,000/oz
M2 money supply ~$84,000/oz
U.S. federal debt ~$145,000/oz
M2 + federal debt ~$230,000/oz

Those are 100% backing calculations, not forecasts.

And remember: Treasury still officially values its gold at only $42.2222/oz, an accounting value established by statute—not its market value.

Here’s the really important point

The government doesn’t have to back every dollar with one ounce of gold.

It could say:

“We will redeem $X for one ounce of gold.”

The higher the official gold price, the more dollars each ounce supports.

For example, if the government revalued its 261.5 million ounces to:

  • $10,000 gold → $2.615 trillion backing
  • $25,000 gold → $6.54 trillion
  • $50,000 gold → $13.08 trillion
  • $75,000 gold → $19.61 trillion
  • $100,000 gold → $26.15 trillion
  • $150,000 gold → $39.23 trillion

So around $75,000–$100,000 gold would be enough to put the government’s gold reserve in the neighborhood of the entire M2 money supply.

What about silver?

That’s much harder to calculate because the U.S. government doesn’t have a comparable giant monetary silver reserve. You could have a gold + silver standard, but you’d first have to establish a conversion ratio—for example, 20:1, 30:1, or 50:1.

So there isn’t one mathematically determined silver price.

But gold is the really interesting number. If the U.S. ever decided to restore a serious gold backing to the existing dollar supply, I think $50,000–$100,000 gold is a much more meaningful range to examine than today’s price, depending on exactly which dollars and liabilities they choose to back.

And there’s another calculation I think you would find particularly interesting: what gold price would be required to back the U.S. national debt at 20%, 40%, 50%, or 100% with the existing 261.5 million ounces. That gets into the kind of monetary “reset” you have been talking about.

Lots of fighting in Southern Iran

Posted by Maddog @ 16:39 on September 14, 2026  

GATA

Posted by deer79 @ 16:08 on September 14, 2026  

Years ago, Bill Murphy used to talk about the multiples of paper Gold to real physical Gold. For giggles, I asked Chat GPT what that ratio really was. This is what I got:

The paper gold to physical gold ratio can exceed 100:1 in certain markets, meaning there could be over 100 ounces of paper gold claims for every ounce of actual physical gold. This disparity highlights the risks associated with investing in paper gold compared to owning physical gold.

With the Dutch repatriating $5 billion worth of their physical Gold in the past few weeks, I keep asking myself how much longer ( and how much higher) that ratio can go before something implodes. But we all know that financial “markets” can be irrational far longer that anyone can rationally think….

 

 

HUI down just a little less than 3%

Posted by Buygold @ 15:54 on September 14, 2026  

Modest by the HUI standards. The silver shares have taken the brunt of the damage; seems most are down near 4% although I see CTGO is up a little and HSLV is only down a fraction. I do see one that’s down over 7%.

The DIA is down .17% and the QQQ’s down .56%.

I shudder to think what we’re going to look like when the SM actually takes a real hit.

deer79’s little tungsten play is up 5%. Are there any others? There’s one called Fox Tungsten in Canada but it’s a $.16 stock. Greatland is more of a gold play, or at least it is trading like one.

maddog

Posted by goldielocks @ 15:39 on September 14, 2026  

Yeah that’s what I figured and they do it every time. Another slowdown one is confirm identity when you log in quite often. Like your there for a Sunday stroll through the park. I have signed up for another broker just haven’t funded it. Another I’d to buy a IPO pre trade which I wouldn’t do anyways cuz you get locked in for months while it sells off but they act like it’s only for the ones with 100k or more in their account. Fidelity it’s 2000.

I tried the GTC a small amount plus extended hours and it went through..I also found a small monthly charge for a canadian stock. Have to watch that too.

Reason for stocks upswing/oil downswing?

Posted by deer79 @ 15:32 on September 14, 2026  

Stocks just spiked on this: US seeks “step-by-step” agreement with Iran, a scenario that could be a prelude to the US entering the path of negotiations, without abandoning military and economic pressure: ILNA reports citing Pakistani sources.

 

But it looks like the Iranians are in bed with the Globalists/Dems/Liberals to make Trump look as bad as possible before the Midterms…

goldielocks

Posted by Maddog @ 14:47 on September 14, 2026  

That verbiage is probably just to cover their backsides, against being sued, by someone who loses money etc……

On the GTC again I don’t see how you can have a sell order not taken.

maddog

Posted by goldielocks @ 14:40 on September 14, 2026  

Ameritrade investors were transferred to Schwab. If I knew of any others were better I would get out. Have to consider if that broker could survive a crash. They also have ways to slow down your trades too, like money moving fast doesn’t matter to them or doing it on purpose. Like buying a ETF for a short term trade and get a lecture I’m supposed to read first before placing the trade. I can’t remember what stock they refused the GTC but I think it was pre open hours. I might try that high ask trick on.GTC and see what happens. They also give you a lecture if you buy and sell the same day and not a pattern but see a change in direction once and preventing losses.

 

 

Ipso

Posted by Buygold @ 14:24 on September 14, 2026  

I would love to be wrong! But I’m just snot!🤣

Maddog

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:07 on September 14, 2026  

I’m ready! 🙂

The regime damages itself

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:05 on September 14, 2026  

Iranian influencer is sentenced to death for ‘insulting the Ayatollah and sharing pictures of air strike damage’

https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16129453/Iranian-influencer-sentenced-death-insulting-Ayatollah-sharing-pictures-air-strike-damage.html

ipso facto

Posted by Maddog @ 13:52 on September 14, 2026  

Re Good news…yup that could well be it……we may have a major bottom here in PM’s…next few days will see….Wave counts are well set.

Buygold

Posted by ipso facto @ 13:52 on September 14, 2026  

But you’d love to be wrong …

Ipso

Posted by Buygold @ 13:37 on September 14, 2026  

I do see the HUI was down to 777 and now around 793 down 20.

Metals are better.

I guess it’s about perspective. PM’s don’t come back.

Mortgage rates above 7%. Blechh

Posted by ipso facto @ 13:20 on September 14, 2026  

The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetter
·
2h
BREAKING: The 10Y Note Yield officially rises above 5.00% for the first time since October 2023.

US mortgage rates are back above 7%.

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2099504260886999509

Maybe this is the “good” news

Posted by ipso facto @ 13:04 on September 14, 2026  

Trump Declares Ukraine, Russia Have Agreed To Halt All Attacks On Energy Targets

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/kremlin-welcomes-trump-call-ukraine-halt-attacks-diesel-infrastructure-praises

Buygold

Posted by ipso facto @ 13:00 on September 14, 2026  

Looks like this morning’s loss has been cut in half … as far as I can tell. Some good news would be welcome!

Maddog @ 12:12

Posted by ipso facto @ 12:58 on September 14, 2026  

Thanks! That makes sense. 🙂

Maddog

Posted by Buygold @ 12:46 on September 14, 2026  

What?

Pretty bloody on my screen.

ipsofacto

Posted by Maddog @ 12:12 on September 14, 2026  

Re Independence

It’s the usual loony’s….they all want out so they can join the EU. because they figure they will get more money from the EU…only problem is the last thing the EU want’s is deadbeat’s with their hands out, seeing as how it is already broke. No doubt the EU will lose the application letter, like they have before.

The EU want’s Switzerland, Norway Iceland etc…all nice rich places, they can rip off.

Golodielocks

Posted by Maddog @ 11:49 on September 14, 2026  

Can’t see why or how a broker can refuse a GTC order….it’s a valid order and in these days of all electronic trading, it’s not hard to do it.

I would sack the broker and report them.

Something big has happened,,,maybe good news in Iran……rates have eased, PM’s up Oil down SM Up dlr easier

Posted by Maddog @ 11:46 on September 14, 2026  

Tungsten – Australia – Greatland Resources

Posted by Don Michael @ 11:31 on September 14, 2026  
As of its major portfolio upgrades, Greatland Resources controls a massive resource base across its key assets in the Paterson Province of Western Australia. [1, 2]
Their total resources for tungsten, gold, and copper stand as follows:
  • Tungsten: 246,000 tonnes of contained tungsten trioxide (WO₃).
  • Gold: 22.9 million ounces (Moz) across their entire gold-copper portfolio.
  • Copper: 1.0 million tonnes (kt) total across all assets. [1, 2]

First pour forecast for 2029

Posted by ipso facto @ 10:32 on September 14, 2026  

Osisko Gold Announces Formal Construction Decision and Development Update for the Cariboo Gold Project

https://www.juniorminingnetwork.com/junior-miner-news/press-releases/2884-tsx-venture/ogg/210869-osisko-gold-announces-formal-construction-decision-and-development-update-for-the-cariboo-gold-project.html

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.