jitters about what might happen over the weekend ??
Ipso
Right or the fact that houses were thrown off the foundations. Cement in between brick or brick without say rebar enforced just crumble and bricks fall when the shaking starts. Nails in wood usually in corners by themselves pull apart. I don’t know all that much about building but I know what I saw first hand before they made building changes. Japan high rise buildings have survived 9 after improving construction codes for earthquakes.
from IRGC mouthpiece
The Hormuz Letter
@HormuzLetter
·
13m
BREAKING: The US military is currently conducting strikes in the area of the Strait of Hormuz, per US official.
The Hormuz Letter
@HormuzLetter
·
25m
BREAKING: More than three consecutive explosions heard in the Strait of Hormuz, near Sirik, southern Iran, per IRIB.
This comes shortly after Trump, when asked about potential US response to Iran’s recent attacks on vessels in the Strait, replied “you will find out.”
Big Picture
Graddhy – Commodities TA+Cycles
@graddhybpc
Gold is in a 45-year parabolic slingshot-move.
Posted on the blue breakout in linked post.
Target is $15 000 – $20 000 since many years back, and might raise it further.
Now in a much needed consolidation/pullback, which could last longer than many thinks.
listening to bubblevision
Evidently we are hitting some Iranian targets in retaliation for the attacks on shipping …
goldielocks
I’d hate to live in a high rise where the builder paid scant attention to the foundation!
Ipso
Those building in South America if they don’t start building to earthquake codes it’s gonna continue to cost more lives. I didn’t see any mass emergency responses for the ones still trapped in the debris. Last time I was deep in South America traveling around with a friend around 2005.. the retired crew chief also contractor saw a two story building that concerned him. Had to do with safety. I asked if it was not good he said no it wasn’t.
Invasion
James Woods
@RealJamesWoods
·
19h
Ho hum.
OT … Scary encounter … hat’s off to the woman
Tony Lane 🇺🇸
@TonyLaneNV
·
12h
A woman hiking in Canada nearly became a grizzly’s next meal and the video circulating right now is genuinely one of the most intense wildlife encounters you will ever watch – her dog is with her, a massive grizzly is right there, and somehow she kept her head together long enough for both of them to walk away breathing.
All good
SM roaring back. Rates down a little, dollar down a little. Oil down to $69 and threatening lower.
Would be a special gift if silver could close above $60, gold $4100.
Like winning a trophy for last place.
$ilver bottom @ $56…???
here’s hoping it holds.
This says a lot about the negotiations – and who is telling the truth
Apparently, the information war is hotter than the real one.
IAEA Chief Confirms Nuclear Inspectors Returning To Iran, No Timeline Given
Says Iran’s pledge of no nukes demands “very strong” verification..
Hearing a lot of chatter
about a bank shutdown over the 4th of July weekend. I’m sure it’s just chatter like so much other crap that gets thrown out there. The other thing is of course the false flag.
It would make for a helluva 250th anniversary celebration though.
ferrett @ 6:21
If the EU starts penalizing the NG importers their imports will fall off a cliff. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot!
Glad his family is safe. I’m not sure of his location but it was certainly hard hit by the quake.
Mark
@Mark_IKN
·
9h
Interior of our building, this morning. We slept in the car park. Our crazy good fortune began to sink in while taking this footage. Walked out with just a few scratches, kids untouched. Their mother was a hero.
Rough week
PM’s up a little, everything else down? Even the dollar is down a smidge.
Can’t imagine that will last.
GDX bounced where it had to, pretty weak bounce though. Lose 15% in 3 days, gain back 1%. Maybe it will hold.
Silver
Looks like it’s formed a hammer if it holds. Means a sign of a reversal or bottom but needs confirmation.
Gold silver ratio by 2030 AI
.
Analysts project the gold-to-silver ratio (GSR) to compress from the mid-60s to between 40:1 and 55:1 by 2030. This historical mean reversion will be driven by gold prices potentially reaching $7,000 to $8,000 per ounce, while silver outpaces it to hit between $100 and $175 per ounce.
Long-term projections leading up to 2030 are categorized by the following macroeconomic drivers and market scenarios:
Key Forecast Scenarios
- Consensus Target (40:1 – 50:1): Models from institutions like Incrementum and ByteTree forecast gold prices to top $7,000/oz. Because silver acts as an industrial metal and a monetary hedge, sustained supply deficits are projected to push silver to $140 – $175/oz, causing the GSR to fall significantly.
- Conservative Scenario (55:1 – 60:1): Analysts like those at BMO warn that if green energy and solar sector demand slows or if silver faces physical surpluses, silver could underperform gold. In this scenario, the ratio remains closer to the long-term, post-gold-standard average of around 54:1 to 60:1.
- Bull Run / Overshoot (Below 40:1): In periods of heavy monetary devaluation or a supply shock in green energy tech (e.g., in solar or solid-state batteries), silver could see triple-digit rallies, which would cause the ratio to compress below 40:1.
-
Core Market Drivers
- Structural Supply Deficits: The Silver Institute projects that global silver demand will continue to outpace new mine supply. Mine supply is expected to remain flat, setting up structural deficits that heavily favor silver’s appreciation.
- Industrial Demand: Silver consumption is underpinned by green technology, specifically photovoltaics (solar panels) and electric vehicles. New use-cases in AI infrastructure and solid-state batteries are expected to consume over 100Moz annually by 2030.
- Monetary Policy: Gold and silver remain sensitive to interest rates and dollar strength. If the Federal Reserve eases monetary policy, the resulting dollar weakness is a primary catalyst that historically causes the GSR to compress
I asked Ai if the silver shortages were fake..
The 2026 silver shortage was a real structural deficit, not a fake scare. Mining output did not instantly increase because roughly \(70\%\) of silver is extracted as a byproduct of copper, lead, and zinc mining. The structural squeeze was heavily exacerbated by China implementing strict export controls starting January 1, 2026, which effectively restricted the outflow of Chinese-refined silver to global markets. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
The 2026 Supply & Demand Reality
Despite some thrifting and substitution in the solar (photovoltaic) sector, the silver market is tracking a sixth consecutive annual deficit (projected at roughly \(46.3\) million ounces). A single massive short-squeeze in early 2026 sent silver prices to an all-time nominal high of \(\$121.64\) per ounce before profit-taking and margin adjustments corrected spot prices to around \(\$56\) to \(\$58\). However, physical supply at the institutional and retail levels remains exceptionally tight. [1, 2, 3, 4]
Silver Price Outlook for 2030
- Irreversible Industrial Consumption: Silver is permanently consumed by high-growth industries like artificial intelligence infrastructure, EV manufacturing, advanced electronics, and the ongoing rollout of 5G. [1, 2]
- Inelastic Supply: Because global silver production depends heavily on base metal prices and features long lead times (5–10 years) for new primary mines, supply cannot rapidly scale up to meet this demand. [1, 2, 3, 4]
- Strategic Metal Reclassification: China’s reclassification of silver as a strategic material has severely tightened global supply lines, forcing the U.S. and other nations to treat physical metal as a critical resource. [1, 2]
What are they preparing for?
Pentagons one focus doesn’t help.
The main point is not that China suddenly has a new weapon everyone can identify. It is that the ground around its nuclear silos is changing quickly, and that change fits a wider buildup the Pentagon says could leave China with more than 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030.
Ferrett
You can treat the injured without reporting but if you don’t address the needs of the injured or denying more medical support prior to this happening especially when there was a eminent threat is another. It’s a two edge sword, it also commands concern from their own. I think they were more ” concerned” about their people being concerned for their own. The enemy tends to find out by themselves or lie about the number of casualties they caused vs their own anyways.