Gold has been in an increasingly more powerful parabolic advance since its breakout in March of 2024, and a stunningly consistent pattern has emerged that projects a massive move higher within the next five months.

Since breaking out of a 13-year base in early ‘24, gold has been carving out a series of accelerating cycles, each delivering a remarkably consistent and significant percentage gain in a remarkably consistent timeframe.

The last cycle high of ~$5,600 was reached on January 29th, 2026. If this powerful pattern holds, the next leg up will soon hit and could coincide with a major historical milestone: the 250th anniversary of American Independence on July 4th, 2026.

This isn’t just a line on a chart; it’s a visual representation of a market recognizing gold’s role as the ultimate monetary asset in an era of unprecedented debt and currency debasement.

The technicals, the macro, and the calendar are aligning for a potentially explosive move to a price target that will shock the mainstream. And that’s exactly what I expect to happen!

Here’s what you need to know;

• THE PARABOLIC PATTERN: Since breaking out in March 2024, gold has followed a clear pattern of accelerating cycles, each gaining ~25% in a fairly consistent timeframe.
• ACCELERATING CYCLES: The first leg up took 175 days, the second 180 days, and the most recent was a blistering 100 days. The parabola may be steepening.
• THE BIG PRICE TARGET: Based on the established pattern, the next cycle high targets a price level that will be a game-changer for gold investors.
• THE JULY 4th CATALYST: The timing of the pattern suggests the next peak could occur between May and July 2026. A powerful narrative could form around the 250th anniversary of U.S. Independence on July 4th.
• MACRO FUEL: This pattern is not happening in a vacuum. It is being fueled by the prospect of renewed Fed printing, rate cuts, and potential market and geopolitical instability, which could force a liquidity response.
• PATTERNS HOLD UNTIL THEY DON’T: While the pattern is remarkably clear, its continuation depends on the macro conditions. A shaky market and banking system would provide the necessary fuel for the Fed to hit the accelerator, validating the price target.

Gold’s 250th anniversary fireworks are in play. The technical and repeating pattern & macro setup points to this BIG Price Target around July 4, 2026!

Let’s Dig Into The Following:

1. The parabolic advance in gold since its March 2024 breakout needs to be deconstructed. After consolidating for four years and being trapped below the ~$2,000 level for thirteen years, the price finally broke out with conviction. It has not looked back since. What has followed is not a slow, grinding bull market, but a powerful parabolic advance. Why the market is sending a clear signal that demand for gold as a primary monetary asset is overwhelming the available supply!
2. The pattern is revealing a big price target and the date is July 4th, 2026. Patterns in markets are a reflection of human psychology and the flow of capital. They hold until they don’t. But when a pattern is as clear and consistent as this one, it provides a powerful roadmap for what could come next. If we extrapolate the pattern for one more cycle, we get a very compelling target. Why this would represent one of the most explosive moves in gold’s modern history and that’s exactly what I believe is coming!
3. The macro conditions appear to be aligning and setting up for a parabolic blow-off. A technical pattern this powerful needs fuel. A move this large cannot happen in a vacuum. It requires a specific set of macroeconomic conditions that force a major reassessment of risk and a flight to safety. Those conditions appear to be brewing right now. Why history has shown us, time and time again, that the Fed’s response to any significant economic or market crisis is always the same: print more money and lower interest rates, and that’s exactly what I believe is coming!
4. And the stage is all set for this move. The gold chart is presenting a rare and powerful pattern. The accelerating cycles of this parabolic advance are painting a clear path towards a big price target in the coming months. Why the potential for this move to coincide with the 250th anniversary of American Independence on July 4th, and in conjunction with the price trend detailed below, provides a narrative catalyst that is impossible to ignore!

So, let’s go…

Deconstructing the Parabolic Advance

Gold’s current bull market began in earnest in March 2024. After consolidating for four years and being trapped below the ~$2,000 level for thirteen years, the price finally broke out with conviction. It has not looked back since.

What has followed is not a slow, grinding bull market, but a powerful parabolic advance. Within this advance, a clear and repeating pattern has emerged, consisting of three distinct cycles, each with a similar percentage gain and relatively consistent duration until the most recent move.

Let’s break it down:

As the chart below (h/t Rashad Hajiyev) clearly shows, the uptrend is accelerating. The time required to achieve a ~25% gain is compressing. The move from the cycle 2 high to the cycle 3 high was significantly faster than the previous legs.

This is the classic signature of a parabolic move, where investor recognition and capital inflows begin to snowball.

This is not random price action. It is a market in the process of a major re-pricing event. Each consolidation is being bought aggressively, and each breakout is more powerful than the last.

The market is sending a clear signal that demand for gold as a primary monetary asset is overwhelming the available supply.

The Big Price Target and the July 4th Narrative

Patterns in markets are a reflection of human psychology and the flow of capital. They hold until they don’t. But when a pattern is as clear and consistent as this one, it provides a powerful roadmap for what could come next.

If we extrapolate the pattern for one more cycle, we get a compelling target:

• Starting Point: The last cycle high of ~$5,600 on January 29th, 2026.
• Percentage Gain: The same approximate ~25% gain, in line with the previous cycles.
• Price Target: ~$5,600 + 25% = $7,000 per ounce.

This is not a typo. The pattern is projecting that gold could reach $7,000 within the next cycle. This would represent one of the most explosive moves in gold’s modern history and would cement its status as the premier safe-haven asset in a world drowning in debt.

The timing is also suggested by the pattern. The last cycle took 100 days. If the acceleration continues, the next cycle could be even faster. However, even a simple average of the last two cycles (~140 days) provides a fascinating timeline. A 139-day move from the January 29th high would place the next cycle peak precisely on July 4th, 2026. This would coincide with Dr. Judy Shelton’s call for a gold backed bond to be released on the same date.

Could gold hit $7,000 around the 250th anniversary of the United States’ Declaration of Independence? From a narrative perspective, it would be a powerful symbol.

A nation founded on principles of liberty and sound money, celebrating its 250th birthday at a time of unprecedented debt levels, might see its citizens and the world flock back to the ultimate monetary anchor.

Of course, this is only speculation, but narratives are powerful drivers of markets. A $7,000 gold price on July 4th would be a headline seen around the world, potentially triggering a new wave of institutional and retail adoption.

Based on the patterns we have seen, and until the macro forces change in a major way to alter these trends, it is my personal bias that this is exactly what we are going to see.

The Macro Conditions for a Parabolic Blow-Off

A technical pattern this powerful needs fuel. A move to $7,000 cannot happen in a vacuum. It requires a specific set of macroeconomic conditions that force a major reassessment of risk and a flight to safety. Those conditions appear to be brewing right now.

The primary driver will be the Federal Reserve. The recent market tremors and the data showing a cracking labor market are putting immense pressure on the Fed. The deflationary impulse from A.I.-driven job losses and rising consumer delinquencies is a central banker’s worst nightmare.

History has shown us, time and time again, that the Fed’s response to any significant economic or market crisis is always the same: print more money and lower interest rates.

If the market and the banking system begin to look shaky, the Fed will not hesitate to unleash a monetary tsunami. This is the rocket fuel for gold. A move to $7,000 would likely be driven by:

1. A Rapid Escalation of Fed Printing: A new, large-scale Quantitative Easing (QE) program would signal that all pretense of monetary discipline is gone.
2. Aggressive Rate Cuts: A return to a zero or near-zero interest rate policy would make holding non-yielding gold far more attractive.
3. Loss of Confidence: A crisis in the banking sector or a major market downturn would shatter investor confidence in paper assets and trigger a flight to the physical safety of gold.

These are just a few scenarios that could unleash gold towards a $7,000 target. The key indicator to watch will be the relationship between gold, the U.S. Dollar, and Treasuries.

In a true debt-deflation crisis, all three can rally together as global capital seeks safety above all else. If we see that dynamic begin to play out, it is the ultimate confirmation that the conditions are ripe for gold’s next explosive leg higher.

The Stage is Set

The gold chart is presenting a rare and powerful pattern. The accelerating cycles of this parabolic advance are painting a clear path towards a $7,000 price target in the coming months.

The potential for this move to coincide with the 250th anniversary of American Independence on July 4th, and in conjunction with the price trend detailed above, provides a narrative catalyst that is impossible to ignore.

This is not a prediction set in stone. It is a high-probability scenario based on a clear technical pattern and a brewing macroeconomic storm.

The Fed is trapped. Any sign of real economic weakness will force their hand, and their only response is to debase the currency. The pattern on the chart is simply front-running that inevitable reality.

The stage is set for a historic move in gold, and July 4th, 2026 is the target date.

Metals and Miners

Feb 15