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Yes the battle is with silver at $50 … where a weekly close back above the mark would be a very positive development … with multiple weekly closes above the large round number and previous highs a technical signal more gains should be expected.
Not that gold at $4,000 is not significant in this regard as well … where COT considerations … with collapsing open interest (OI) and record physical offtake … should be expected to drive prices higher in spite of overbought technical conditions that would normally be considered the dominant factor previously post new record highs.
On a COT related basis … gold is ready to go again.
Of course, general liquidity conditions and further official selling could play into the formula too … but should only act as temporary hinderances regarding higher prices that appear necessary before increasing demand would be cleared.
People are piling in because they know a new currency regime is coming … where it appears gold will be central … and silver will be remonetized as a codicil.
The comex gold sell off is all paper driven as the record physical buy continues
Analyzing comex data since the price roller coaster began last Friday (Oct 17) indicates that paper shorts flooded the market at record high volume driving the price down. December contract OI dropped as paper longs folded. However, physical gold bought on the October contract continued at a sizzling record pace. Two large players emerge from being somewhat dormant, BofA and Morgan Stanley house accounts, and bought much of the physical gold.
Finally got to watch the other half of this by Michelle M and Andy Schevtman.It got better as it goes on but whole thing on what’s going on now world wide.
There is ongoing demand still going on. He explained how China is flying around to different country’s buying lower grade silver like Dory?? and refining it, going around the comex so not drive the price up while accumulating as much as they can. The LBMA and more, that he hasn’t seen anything like this. Paper trades being usurped in and passed on.
Great upside reversal s , I think on the charts…we await goldielocks interpretation of the Candle Sticks ..
in Elliot terms we have done a classic 3 wave A-B-C down…..which means this is a correction only…now do we do a B wave up, or have we already started the next Impulse wave up….
I was hoping for more of a turn higher, but if we close here, that’s not too shabby.
That Kitco article makes a good point. We have to remember that some of the banks have recommended changing portfolio strategies that now include gold. I know there was a portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley that went to 60-20-20 with that last 20% allocation into gold.
It sure would be nice if this vicious correction is over.
Maddog – yes that’s an interesting take. Does the US actually want the gold price higher so they can revalue? Million dollar question. Maybe as you said, this is big banks circling the wagons to bail out another bank that is over-leveraged with pm shorts at much lower prices.
Could also just be a massive shaking of the tree by some big banks so they can get positioned for the next leg up.
As usual, this smash feels bad because the shares always get hit so hard. 20% on the HUI, more on some of the small caps. Gold is only down 6%, silver 12% or so. Not particularly huge moves, especially for silver. I think we’ve seen bigger moves down percentage wise during this rally for silver.
Good to see gold back above $4100. Maybe we can close the week strong. Stranger things have happened.