Yes I have been watching that too … which is effectively a trap for retail investors going into the Fed meeting.
If they only cut .25 bp the short end of the market could factor that as they are still watching ‘inflation’ and reduce odds of further cuts, while the long end would likely start discounting this same ‘inflation’. The end result is a steepening curve and liquidity pressure on the equity complex.
I expect this because the Fed is political, and Powell is gone soon anyway so he doesn’t care.
So this could play havoc with stocks going into October – including PMs.
If silver trades above $35 prior to Wednesday, it will be up in 5 from the April low and even if it vexes higher – should start a correction sooner rather than later.
That said, if Ghali over at TD is right and silver stockpiles are very thin (they are) – any reaction from monetary authorities (globally) to stem stock market/ economic weakness in the Fall – could eat up any remaining supply quite quickly (4 months?).
And I can tell you da boyz over at the CME are playing games with the numbers these days. Ex. gold’s preliminary numbers had open interest (OI) up over 14k contracts first thing this morning – but as you can see here they are only up just over 300 now. And they delivered more contracts (307 + 1605 EFP’s) making Comex an increasingly physical delivery mechanism now (final numbers). And this kind of thing has been going on for some time now (weeks). It’s designed to scare you off from buying – a form of spoofing.
This is not good for the bankers who thought this fractional reserve thing was the best thing since sliced bread and have abused it to the point they are now about to get caught.
Gee – I wonder how much our taxes will be going up next year to pay for this crap.
Not as much as the money printing when the crack-up boom accelerates I will wager.
Cheers